Seraing vs Lommel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Seraing - Lommel
Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenger Pro League - Round 9
  • Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)
Seraing - Lommel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.352.30
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
823
Shots on target
511
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
71% (220/308)83% (402/484)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.352.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.662.20
Total shots
823
Shots on target
511
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
71% (220/308)83% (402/484)
Long passes
38% (32/84)68% (47/69)
Passes in final third
49% (36/73)71% (112/157)
Crosses
38% (5/13)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.81
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1213
Tackles
75% (15/20)81% (17/21)
Duels won
4257
Clearances
2819
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.201.66
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Soumah-Abbad E. , Da Costa E. (A),
  • 22', Solheid N. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Schoofs L. ,
  • 36', Salah M. 🟨,
  • 45', Ndiaye C. O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', De Grand S. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Soumah-Abbad E. (Pen),
  • 56', 2 - 2, Rommens N. , Lopez L. (A),
  • 59', Oware H. , Seigers R. ,
  • 59', Salah M. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 63', Da Costa E. , Bouchentouf N. ,
  • 63', Faye S. , Akpa-Chukwu H. ,
  • 68', Lopez L. , Pelupessy J. ,
  • 68', Vancsa Z. , van Duiven J. ,
  • 72', Agne Ba A. , Gaye T. ,
  • 75', Tolinsson J. , Eyoma T. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Seuntjens R. , Seigers R. (A),
  • 87', Ndiaye C. O. , Lockman T. ,
  • 87', Paulo da Silva T. , Kebe O. ,
  • 89', van Duiven J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Seraing
26.3%
Draw
26%
Lommel
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 26.3% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 25.3% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.
  • Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lommel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Seraing - Lommel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (2.93)
    3.79
    (3.5)
    2.16
    (2.18)
    -0.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Seraing - Lommel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lommel will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 1.
    • Seraing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lommel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Lommel is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seraing - Lommel were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Lommel - Seraing 2:2
    01.09.2024 Seraing - Lommel 1:2
    06.04.2024 Lommel - Seraing 0:0
    08.12.2023 Seraing - Lommel 2:2
    Latest results of Seraing
    27.09.2025 Beveren - Seraing 2:1
    23.09.2025 Francs Borains - Seraing 0:0
    20.09.2025 Seraing - Gent U23 0:2
    14.09.2025 RWDM Brussels - Seraing 5:0
    Latest results of Lommel
    28.09.2025 Lommel - RFC Liège 0:1
    24.09.2025 Brugge U23 - Lommel 0:2
    19.09.2025 Lommel - Genk U23 1:2
    30.08.2025 Lommel - Lokeren 3:1
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