Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Santiago Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
2:1
01/03/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Semi-finals
Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
69%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (34/51)62% (29/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (12/23)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
38% (18/47)33% (17/51)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (16/30)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
63% (47/75)56% (43/77)
Return Points Won
44% (34/77)37% (28/75)
Total Points Won
53% (81/152)47% (71/152)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
63% (15/24)38% (9/24)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
67.2%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.43)

    2.89
    (2.84)
    5%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Sebastian Baez will win! (24 of 27 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 31. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69.
    • Baez in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Ugo Carabelli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Baez will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Baez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:1
    11.02.2025 Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    3Garin C. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (Q)2 : 1
    4Gaston H.Etcheverry T. M. (5)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (4)Bye
    6Buse I. (WC)Djere L.0 : 2
    7Heide G. (Q)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    8Faria J.Darderi L. (8)2 : 0
    9Navone M. (6)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    11Meligeni Alves F. (Q)Comesana F.0 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Jarry N. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    14Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Monteiro T.1 : 2
    15Coria F.Barrios Vera T. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeTabilo A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1
    2Garin C.Etcheverry T. M. (5)0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Djere L.0 : 2
    4Heide G.Faria J.1 : 2
    5Navone M. (6)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    6Comesana F.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Monteiro T.2 : 1
    8Coria F.Tabilo A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (5)2 : 1
    2Djere L.Faria J.2 : 1
    3Dzumhur D.Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Ugo Carabelli C.Coria F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Djere L.1 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Djere L.Baez S. (3)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
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