Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm
Result
77:89
07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : WNBA
Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
3952
Field Goals Made
2932
Field Goals %
74.4%61.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2734
2-Point Field Goals Made
2120
2-Point Field Goals %
77.8%58.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1218
3-Point Field Goals Made
812
3-Point Field Goals %
66.7%66.7%
Free Throws Attempted
1314
Free Throws Made
1113
Free Throws %
84.6%92.9%
Offensive Rebounds
15
Defensive Rebounds
149
Total Rebounds
1514
Assists
1214
Blocks
02
Turnovers
104
Steals
03
Personal Fouls
106

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
32.4%
Seattle Storm
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 64.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Seattle Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Storm than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.74)

    1.4
    (1.44)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 156.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Seattle is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Phoenix will win today's game, with odds of 3.07.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1536:1611. (average 76.8:80.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 734:721. (average 81.6:80.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury 77:70
    17.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm 81:59
    19.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm 70:89
    07.09.2024 Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury 90:66
    16.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm 87:78
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Seattle Storm
    WNBA Table
    2025

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W990760:6631.000
    2Phoenix Mercury W1064786:7810.600
    3Las Vegas Aces W743561:5740.571
    4Seattle Storm W954723:7090.556
    5Golden State Valkyries W945705:7290.444
    6Los Angeles Sparks W1037826:8420.300
    7Dallas Wings W1019816:8810.100


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W880729:5771.000
    2Atlanta Dream W853677:6480.625
    3Indiana Fever W844676:6110.500
    4Washington Mystics W1046796:7940.400
    5Chicago Sky W725542:6310.286
    6Connecticut Sun W927647:8040.222


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W990760:6631.000
    2New York Liberty W880729:5771.000
    3Atlanta Dream W853677:6480.625
    4Phoenix Mercury W1064786:7810.600
    5Las Vegas Aces W743561:5740.571
    6Seattle Storm W954723:7090.556
    7Indiana Fever W844676:6110.500
    8Golden State Valkyries W945705:7290.444
    9Washington Mystics W1046796:7940.400
    10Los Angeles Sparks W1037826:8420.300
    11Chicago Sky W725542:6310.286
    12Connecticut Sun W927647:8040.222
    13Dallas Wings W1019816:8810.100

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )

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