Técnico Universitario vs SD Aucas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

: Liga Pro - Round 16
Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.66
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
73% (214/292)	82% (341/416)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	1.22
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
12	16
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
20	13
Passes
73% (214/292)	82% (341/416)
Long passes
40% (29/72)	58% (42/72)
Passes in final third
51% (46/90)	70% (74/105)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.71
Throw-ins
23	22
Fouls
13	20
Tackles
75% (9/12)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
43	41
Clearances
32	25
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
1.22	2.23
Goals prevented
0.22	1.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
41', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Blanco J. ⚽, Andrade J. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Cristobal R. 🟨,
64', Quinonez R. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
64', Cano L. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
75', Mina A. 🟨,
83', Torres E. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
83', Castillo J. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
83', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Técnico Universitario
33.1%

Draw
29.5%

SD Aucas
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Técnico Universitario's performance.

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Técnico Universitario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.46)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	8.6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
Técnico Univ is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against SD Aucas?

Técnico Universitario has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Técnico Universitario?

SD Aucas has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas were as follows:

15.02.2025 SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario 4:1

12.08.2024 Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas 2:0

10.03.2024 SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario 3:1

17.09.2023 SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario 2:4

15.04.2023 Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas 0:1

Latest results of Técnico Universitario

31.05.2025 LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario 3:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Delfín 1:2 ✺

16.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Latest results of SD Aucas

01.06.2025 SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 SD Aucas - Manta 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	17	9	6	2	31:16	15	33
2	Barcelona SC	18	10	3	5	30:23	7	33
3	Dep. Cuenca	18	10	2	6	22:15	7	32
4	LDU Quito	18	8	6	4	29:19	10	30
5	Orense	18	9	3	6	21:21	0	30
6	Aucas	17	7	5	5	24:20	4	26
7	Delfin	18	6	7	5	19:23	-4	25
8	U. Catolica	17	6	6	5	28:20	8	24
9	Libertad	18	6	6	6	27:25	2	24
10	Vinotinto	17	6	4	7	25:22	3	22
11	Manta	18	4	8	6	23:30	-7	20
12	EL Nacional	17	5	4	8	22:28	-6	19
13	Macara	17	4	6	7	13:16	-3	18
14	Emelec	17	4	6	7	12:21	-9	18
15	Mushuc Runa	18	4	3	11	22:35	-13	15
16	Tecnico U	17	2	5	10	16:30	-14	11

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
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Which TV channels are streaming of Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz