SD Aucas vs Orense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro SD Aucas - Orense
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
SD Aucas - Orense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


SD Aucas
48.6%
Draw
27.2%
Orense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 27.3% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 28.5% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Aucas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • SD Aucas - Orense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.78)
    3.45
    (3.41)
    3.83
    (4.51)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Orense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Orense (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orense will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
    • Aucas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Orense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Aucas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Orense were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    02.08.2024 Orense - SD Aucas 4:0
    02.03.2024 SD Aucas - Orense 2:0
    03.12.2023 Orense - SD Aucas 1:2
    23.06.2023 SD Aucas - Orense 2:0
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    15.09.2025 Manta - SD Aucas 1:1
    30.08.2025 SD Aucas - Emelec 1:2
    22.08.2025 Libertad Loja - SD Aucas 3:2
    16.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 1:0
    Latest results of Orense
    13.09.2025 Orense - Mushuc Runa 3:1
    31.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Orense 1:1
    25.08.2025 Orense - Delfín 3:1
    21.08.2025 Leones del Norte - Orense 1:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 29189255:233263
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 28155844:321250
    3LDU Quito28139643:261748
    4Dep. Cuenca28137834:26846
    5Orense28136934:32245
    6U. Catolica281110752:361643
    7Libertad28119840:35542
    8Aucas281161137:40-339
    9Emelec281081026:34-838
    10Macara288101028:28034
    11EL Nacional28971232:37-534
    12Delfin286121026:41-1530
    13Manta285111232:46-1426
    14Tecnico U28671524:43-1925
    15Vinotinto28661630:41-1124
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 29661733:50-1724

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
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