Emelec vs SD Aucas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - SD Aucas
Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 12
  • Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
Emelec - SD Aucas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.09
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
84% (454/538)83% (315/379)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.212.02
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
43
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
126
Passes
84% (454/538)83% (315/379)
Long passes
63% (34/54)61% (40/66)
Passes in final third
72% (91/127)75% (77/103)
Crosses
19% (3/16)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.37
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
612
Tackles
68% (15/22)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5748
Clearances
2121
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.020.21
Goals prevented
1.020.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Castelli F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. , Mina K. ,
  • 46', Vazquez J. , Carcelen Carabali M. A. ,
  • 46', Munoz E. , Chamba T. ,
  • 47', Mina J. , Cano L. ,
  • 69', Montenegro B. , Zambrano C. ,
  • 69', Mina A. , Serpa T. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. , Zambrano C. (A),
  • 73', Garces R. , Corozo W. ,
  • 77', Quinonez J. , Ayovi J. ,
  • 81', Serpa T. , Quinonez R. ,
  • 85', Jhon Sanchez , Fragozo L. ,
  • 90+3', Quinonez R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
36.5%
Draw
30.2%
SD Aucas
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 29% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Emelec - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.15)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    2.81
    (3.45)
    7.7%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - SD Aucas?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 0.
    • Emelec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - SD Aucas were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:0
    19.04.2024 SD Aucas - Emelec 3:1
    02.09.2023 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:0
    09.04.2023 SD Aucas - Emelec 2:1
    11.09.2022 SD Aucas - Emelec 1:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    19.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 0:1
    11.04.2025 Emelec - Libertad Loja 1:1
    06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona SC1181218:13525
    2Ind. del Valle1273223:111224
    3Aucas1364319:14522
    4Orense1362516:18-220
    5LDU Quito1154217:8919
    6Dep. Cuenca1361611:12-119
    7Vinotinto1253420:14618
    8Libertad1253418:17118
    9U. Catolica1245320:14617
    10Mushuc Runa1343618:21-315
    11Manta1335517:23-614
    12EL Nacional1334616:19-313
    13Emelec123458:14-613
    14Macara132569:13-411
    15Delfin122558:18-1011
    16Tecnico U1324711:20-910

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Emelec - SD Aucas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
    usaUsaFanatiz
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