Schalke 04 vs Holstein Kiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.97
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
75% (328/435)83% (349/420)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.741.81
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
75% (328/435)83% (349/420)
Long passes
39% (17/44)28% (11/39)
Passes in final third
62% (101/164)46% (25/54)
Crosses
19% (7/36)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.13
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
1713
Tackles
71% (12/17)29% (4/14)
Duels won
5659
Clearances
967
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.810.74
Goals prevented
0.810.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Bernhardsson A. , Kapralik A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Skrzybski S. 🟨,
  • 64', Schallenberg R. , Bachmann J. ,
  • 64', Porath F. , Gantenbein A. ,
  • 64', Skrzybski S. , Harres P. ,
  • 65', Muller M. , Rosenboom L. ,
  • 68', Gomis C. , Lasme B. ,
  • 73', Kapralik A. , Therkelsen J. ,
  • 78', Sanchez F. , Kurucay H. ,
  • 79', Becker V. , Antwi-Adjei C. ,
  • 83', Komenda M. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 83', Knudsen M. , Wagner R. ,
  • 87', Johansson C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Zec D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
40%
Draw
27.2%
Holstein Kiel
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 26.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 26.4% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.37)
    3.61
    (3.55)
    2.9
    (2.81)
    2.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.
    • Schalke might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Gruger M. (Foot Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Knock) Remmert P. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:0
    25.08.2023 Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt641111:5613
    2Elversberg641111:6513
    3Hannover641110:7313
    4Kaiserslautern640212:5712
    5Schalke64027:4312
    6Paderborn63217:4311
    7Karlsruher SC63217:6111
    8Arminia Bielefeld631212:7510
    9Holstein Kiel63038:629
    10Greuther Furth630313:15-29
    11Preussen Munster62139:12-37
    12Braunschweig62137:11-47
    13Dusseldorf62135:12-77
    14SG Dynamo Dresden61239:11-25
    15Hertha Berlin61234:6-25
    16Nurnberg61144:7-34
    17Bochum61056:11-53
    18Magdeburg61057:14-73

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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