Covilhã vs SC Lusitânia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Covilhã - SC Lusitânia
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8
Covilhã - SC Lusitânia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
199
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Joca 🟨,
  • 40', Filipe L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Dario Miranda , Gunjo J. ,
  • 58', Biai B. , Kaylan ,
  • 63', Cornelio D. , Salgado L. M. ,
  • 64', Paula G. , Fuller T. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Joca ,
  • 69', Ramalho D. 🟨,
  • 70', Derick 🟨,
  • 75', Filipe L. , Paulinho ,
  • 77', Mosquera D. 🟨,
  • 79', Jefinho , Isabelinha ,
  • 83', Joca , Isma ,
  • 84', Sidney C. , Kipanda D. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Duarte L. ,
  • 90', Konate M. 🟥,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Derick ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
58.2%
Draw
23.9%
SC Lusitânia
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 28.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 28.1% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Covilhã - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.86)
    3.89
    (3.23)
    5.19
    (4.02)
    7.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Covilhã - SC Lusitânia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently SC Lusitânia have a series of home games.
    • In this match Covilhã is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 SC Lusitânia - Covilhã 2:0
    15.01.2025 Covilhã - SC Lusitânia 0:0
    15.09.2024 SC Lusitânia - Covilhã 1:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B11001:013
    2Trofense10100:001
    3Sao Joao Ver10100:001
    4Varzim00000:000
    5AD Fafe00000:000
    6Sanjoanense00000:000
    7Amarante00000:000
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:000
    9AD Marco 0900000:000
    10Paredes10010:1-10


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas11002:113
    21u00ba Dezembro11002:113
    3Amora11001:013
    4Santarem11001:013
    5Mafra10101:101
    6Os Belenenses10101:101
    7Academica10011:2-10
    8Covilha10011:2-10
    9Atletico CP10010:1-10
    10Lusitano GC10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Covilhã - SC Lusitânia?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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