Saudi Arabia vs Qatar, Gulf Cup of Nations: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Gulf Cup of Nations Saudi Arabia - Qatar
Result
1:0 penalties
03/10/2026 at 11:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Arabian Gulf Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Saudi Arabia - Qatar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.320.03
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
242
Shots on target
70
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
122
Passes
89% (690/772)81% (382/470)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.320.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.00
Total shots
242
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
92
Blocked shots
80
Shots inside the box
110
Shots outside the box
132
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
445
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1111
Passes
89% (690/772)81% (382/470)
Long passes
45% (20/44)33% (22/66)
Passes in final third
80% (232/289)63% (46/73)
Crosses
19% (9/47)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.15
Throw ins
3523
Fouls
1111
Tackles
87% (13/15)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
1444
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
07
xGOT faced
0.001.66
Goals prevented
0.001.66
Goal kicks
415

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Thakri J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Mandash S. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
  • 69', Boudiaf K. ↓, Gaber J. ↑,
  • 69', Afif A. ↓, Edmilson Junior ↑,
  • 73', Al Harbi M. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
  • 78', Al Hammami H. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
  • 78', Abu Al Shamat S. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
  • 79', Fathi A. ↓, Salman T. ↑,
  • 79', Al Oui A. ↓, Laye I. ↑,
  • 89', Abdurisag Y. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Mahzari M. ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
  • 91', Thakri J. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
  • 99', Al Amin H. ↓, Al Brake S. ↑,
  • 120+1', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Ali A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Al Hamdan A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Edmilson Junior (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Kanno M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Gaber J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Tambakti H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Khoukhi B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Al Buraikan F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Al Ganehi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Ali M. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Saudi Arabia
50.7%
Draw
28.1%
Qatar
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 27.7% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saudi Arabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Qatar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Saudi Arabia - Qatar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83 ↓
    (1.84)
    3.3 ↑
    (3.27)
    4.37 ↑
    (3.97)
    8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Saudi Arabia - Qatar?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saudi Arabia (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Users Predictions: Saudi Arabia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Saudi Arabia is ranked FIFA: 58., and Qatar is ranked FIFA: 59..
    • Qatar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
    • Bookmakers give the edge to Saudi Arabia for this game.
    • Our forecast points to a victory for Saudi Arabia in today's match, at odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Saudi Arabia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
    Latest results of Saudi Arabia
    29.09.2026 Saudi Arabia - Iraq 2:0 ✺
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    Latest results of Qatar
    27.09.2026 Yemen - Qatar 0:1 ✺
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    18.06.2026 Canada - Qatar 6:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Saudi ArabiaQatar1 : 0
    2United Arab EmiratesOman1 : 0

    Final
    1Saudi ArabiaUnited Arab Emirates2 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Saudi Arabia - Qatar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaMBC 1, MBC Action
    kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport, Shasha
    omanOmanOman TV Sport
    qatarQatarAl Kass One, Shoof
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaAloula, KSA Sports 1, MBC Shahid, STC TV
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1, Maraya, Sharjah Sports
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