Brann vs Sarpsborg 08: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Brann - Sarpsborg 08
Result
2:2
16/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 7
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
Brann - Sarpsborg 08 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.61
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
83% (373/449)77% (218/283)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.392.82
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
4220
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
83% (373/449)77% (218/283)
Long passes
52% (29/56)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
77% (157/205)68% (62/91)
Crosses
17% (4/23)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.381.41
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1916
Tackles
56% (14/25)82% (9/11)
Duels won
6656
Clearances
1538
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.822.39
Goals prevented
-0.100.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gudmundsson E. , Myhre F. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Carstensen F. , Karlsbakk D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Knudsen F. , Soltvedt J. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Sande M. , Soltvedt J. (A),
  • 60', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
  • 65', Pedersen T. , De Roeve D. ,
  • 65', Sande M. , Mathisen U. ,
  • 69', Reinhardsen P. , Jeahze M. ,
  • 69', Carstensen F. , Gudjohnsen S. ,
  • 69', Christiansen S. , Halvorsen V. E. ,
  • 78', Karlsbakk D. , Sanyang A. ,
  • 81', Finne B. , Torsvik J. ,
  • 85', Orjasaeter S. , Haheim-Elveseter M. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Tangen H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Brann
54.4%
Draw
23.9%
Sarpsborg 08
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 21.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 21.2% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brann's form might have worsened.
  • Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Brann - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.57)
    4
    (4.3)
    4.39
    (5)
    4.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Brann - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brann: 59%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Brann is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Brann: De Roeve D. (Head Injury) Mathisen U. (Groin Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Berget J. (Knock) Hiim A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brann won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brann won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brann - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Brann - Sarpsborg 08 1:3
    20.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:1
    03.09.2023 Brann - Sarpsborg 08 1:0
    13.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 2:1
    17.02.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 3:3
    Latest results of Brann
    11.05.2025 Brann - Rosenborg 0:0
    07.05.2025 Bryne - Brann 2:1
    03.05.2025 Vålerenga - Brann 2:4
    27.04.2025 Brann - Bryne 3:2
    24.04.2025 Bjarg - Brann 0:2
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking14103138:172133
    2Rosenborg1365215:12323
    3Brann1272322:20223
    4Tromso1171320:15522
    5Bodo/Glimt1061324:101419
    6Sandefjord1060420:15518
    7Sarpsborg 081145218:11717
    8Fredrikstad1252514:13117
    9Kristiansund1352617:19-217
    10Molde1242616:17-114
    11Valerenga1242616:18-214
    12Bryne1142517:20-314
    13HamKam1133512:21-912
    14KFUM Oslo1132615:18-311
    15Stromsgodset1120914:25-116
    16Haugesund1202104:31-272

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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