Sarpsborg 08 vs Brann: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 - Brann
Result
1:4
02/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 16
  • Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)
Sarpsborg 08 - Brann - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.35
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1331
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
314
Passes
74% (228/308)88% (527/597)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.842.55
Total shots
1331
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
510
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
417
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
314
Touches in opposition box
2860
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
129
Passes
74% (228/308)88% (527/597)
Long passes
42% (22/52)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
62% (69/112)84% (218/261)
Crosses
9% (1/11)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.852.09
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
912
Tackles
50% (9/18)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4435
Clearances
3824
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.550.84
Goals prevented
-1.45-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Jeahze M. , Hiim A. ,
  • 42', 0 - 1, De Roeve D. , Gudmundsson E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Sanyang A. , Job D. ,
  • 49', Koch M. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Orjasaeter S. , Tangen H. (A),
  • 60', Sery Larsen J. , Knudsen F. ,
  • 60', Mathisen U. , Haaland M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Finne B. , Haaland M. (A),
  • 72', Halvorsen V. E. , Bruseth H. ,
  • 76', Sorensen J. , Remmem L. ,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Haaland M. , Soltvedt J. (A),
  • 84', 1 - 4, Gudmundsson E. ,
  • 85', Orjasaeter S. , Reinhardsen P. ,
  • 85', Tangen H. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 86', Gudmundsson E. , Sande M. ,
  • 88', Finne B. , Hansen M. ,

Chances of winning


Sarpsborg 08
18.3%
Draw
25.8%
Brann
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 25.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 25.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 08's form might have worsened.
  • Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sarpsborg 08 - Brann Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.62
    (2.57)
    5.75
    (3.74)
    2.48
    (2.54)
    -30.7%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Brann?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brann will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sarpsborg 08 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Sher A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brann: Fauske Helland E. (Red Card) Kornvig E. (Yellow Cards) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury) Torsvik J. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury) Christiansen S. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Brann were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Brann - Sarpsborg 08 2:2
    01.09.2024 Brann - Sarpsborg 08 1:3
    20.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:1
    03.09.2023 Brann - Sarpsborg 08 1:0
    13.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 2:1
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Latest results of Brann
    30.07.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Brann 1:1
    23.07.2025 Brann - Red Bull Salzburg 1:4
    13.07.2025 Brann - Viking Stavanger 3:1
    05.07.2025 Hamarkameratene - Brann 1:1
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodo/Glimt20143351:183345
    2Viking20143349:272245
    3Brann19114435:28737
    4Tromso20113632:27536
    5Valerenga2093834:32230
    6Rosenborg1986525:23230
    7Sandefjord1991936:28828
    8KFUM Oslo2076731:24727
    9Fredrikstad1976625:22327
    10Molde2083928:26227
    11Sarpsborg 082067731:30125
    12Kristiansund2066823:35-1224
    13HamKam2056922:34-1221
    14Bryne20551025:35-1020
    15Stromsgodset20411526:45-1913
    16Haugesund20131612:51-396

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          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sarpsborg 08 - Brann?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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