Náutico Capibaribe vs São Paulo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa do Brasil Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo
Result
1:2
20/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
79% (357/454)72% (266/369)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
76
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
79% (357/454)72% (266/369)
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1718
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Luciano , Oscar (A),
  • 11', Marco Antonio 🟥,
  • 21', Wellerson R. 🟨,
  • 22', Ferraresi N. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Arnaldo , Marcos Ytalo ,
  • 46', Patrick Allan , de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 53', Diaz E. 🟨,
  • 64', Lucas Ferreira , Rodriguinho ,
  • 64', Alisson , Pablo Maia ,
  • 70', Kelvin , Caio Vitor ,
  • 75', Andre Silva , Ryan Francisco ,
  • 76', 0 - 2, Rodriguinho ,
  • 76', Rodriguinho 🟨,
  • 79', Auremir , Igor Pereira ,
  • 81', Marco Antonio , Helio Borges ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Helio Borges ,
  • 89', Soares C. , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 89', Luciano , Ruan Tressoldi ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
19.6%
Draw
26.5%
São Paulo
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 22.6% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2% 21.9% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (5.93)
    3.51
    (4.13)
    1.74
    (1.51)
    7.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo were as follows:
    29.04.2025 São Paulo - Náutico Capibaribe 2:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of São Paulo
    17.05.2025 São Paulo - Grêmio 2:1
    11.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:0
    06.05.2025 Alianza Lima - São Paulo 0:2
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG2 : 0
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR1 : 0
    3VascoBotafogo RJ1 : 1
    4FluminenseBahia0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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