São Paulo vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Fortaleza
Result
0:0
02/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
São Paulo - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.89
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
513
Passes
89% (357/403)81% (264/326)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.01
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
513
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
89% (357/403)81% (264/326)
Long passes
69% (31/45)35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
80% (70/88)66% (68/103)
Crosses
21% (5/24)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.87
Throw-ins
189
Fouls
1519
Tackles
30% (3/10)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
2826
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.011.14
Goals prevented
0.011.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Lucas Ferreira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
  • 64', Ferreira (Pen),
  • 65', Ferreira , Lucas Moura ,
  • 65', Matheus Alves , Luciano ,
  • 69', Breno Lopes , Marinho ,
  • 74', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
  • 80', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 81', Gustavo Mancha , David Luiz ,
  • 81', Matheus Rossetto , Pochettino T. ,
  • 84', Lucas Ferreira , Ryan Francisco ,

Chances of winning


São Paulo
51.6%
Draw
29.5%
Fortaleza
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 27.5% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • São Paulo - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.9)
    3.24
    (3.45)
    5.03
    (4.1)
    5.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
    • São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Diaz E. (Yellow Cards) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Marcos Antonio (Yellow Cards) Oscar (Hamstring Injury) Pablo Maia (Ankle Injury) Robert Arboleda (Inactive) Young (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Moises (Injury) Titi (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Franco A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Injury) Rodrigo (Inactive)
    • We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Fortaleza were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Fortaleza - São Paulo 1:0
    13.04.2024 São Paulo - Fortaleza 1:2
    20.09.2023 São Paulo - Fortaleza 1:2
    11.05.2023 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:0
    28.08.2022 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    26.04.2025 Ceará - São Paulo 1:1
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    16.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - São Paulo 2:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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