Flamengo vs São Paulo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - São Paulo
Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 13
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Flamengo - São Paulo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Flamengo - São Paulo live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.22
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
86% (356/415)84% (235/281)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.370.00
Total shots
175
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
69
Passes
86% (356/415)84% (235/281)
Long passes
42% (11/26)55% (17/31)
Passes in final third
78% (116/148)62% (23/37)
Crosses
29% (4/14)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.27
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
96
Tackles
50% (6/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3531
Clearances
727
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.002.37
Goals prevented
0.00-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Alex Sandro , Ayrton Lucas ,
  • 26', Sabino 🟨,
  • 34', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 41', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Ayrton Lucas , Varela G. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Luiz Araujo , Wesley Franca (A),
  • 63', Marcos Antonio , Ferreira ,
  • 67', Pablo Maia , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 81', Andre Silva , Ryan Francisco ,
  • 83', Jorginho , de la Cruz N. ,
  • 83', Bruno Henrique , Everton ,
  • 83', de Arrascaeta G. , Wallace Yan ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Wallace Yan ,
  • 90+7', Wallace Yan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Flamengo
65.5%
Draw
23%
São Paulo
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 23% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 22.3% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Flamengo - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.48)
    4.13
    (4.11)
    8.21
    (7.33)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 45 - 91.8%). São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 84.1%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1.
    • Flamengo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Ferreira (Foot Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Rodriguinho (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - São Paulo were as follows:
    19.01.2025 São Paulo - Flamengo 0:0
    03.08.2024 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:0
    17.04.2024 Flamengo - São Paulo 2:1
    06.12.2023 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:0
    24.09.2023 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    29.06.2025 Flamengo - Bayern Munich 2:4
    24.06.2025 Los Angeles - Flamengo 1:1
    20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1
    16.06.2025 Flamengo - Espérance ST 2:0
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Ceara1553714:15-118
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Flamengo - São Paulo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan