Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (356/415) | 84% (235/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (356/415) | 84% (235/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 55% (17/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (116/148) | 62% (23/37) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 26', Sabino 🟨,
- 34', Franco A. 🟨,
- 41', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Wesley Franca (A),
- 63', Marcos Antonio ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 67', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 81', Andre Silva ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 83', Jorginho ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 83', Bruno Henrique ↓, Everton ↑,
- 83', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Wallace Yan ⚽,
- 90+7', Wallace Yan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
65.5% | Draw
23% | São Paulo
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Flamengo - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.48) |
4.13 ↑
(4.11) |
8.21 ↑
(7.33) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Flamengo - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 45 - 91.8%). São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 84.1% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1.
- Flamengo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Ferreira
(Foot Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against São Paulo?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Flamengo?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - São Paulo were as follows:
19.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
0:0
03.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
17.04.2024
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
2:1
06.12.2023
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
24.09.2023
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Flamengo - São Paulo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
