Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/472) | 85% (286/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/472) | 85% (286/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 39% (9/23) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (94/119) | 69% (54/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, Willian Jose ⚽, Erick Pulga (A),
- 59', Luciano 🟨,
- 68', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 68', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 68', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 68', Wendell ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 69', Soares C. ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Willian Jose (Pen),
- 78', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Luciano (Pen),
- 87', Kayky 🟨,
- 87', Pablo Maia ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 89', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 90+3', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 90+8', Rodriguinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
49.3% | Draw
29.6% | São Paulo
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Bahia - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.04) |
3.23 ↑
(3.22) |
4.44 ↑
(3.87) |
5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bahia - São Paulo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
- Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São Paulo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, São Paulo has had a series of home games.
- Bahia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Rezende
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Yellow Cards)
Andre Silva
(Yellow Cards)
Ferreira
(Foot Injury)
Igor Vinicius
(Back Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Lucca Marques
(Ankle Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Marcos Antonio
(Hamstring Injury)
Oscar
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Ruan Tressoldi
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against São Paulo?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Bahia?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - São Paulo were as follows:
05.11.2024
Bahia
-
São Paulo
0:3
30.06.2024
São Paulo
-
Bahia
3:1
29.11.2023
Bahia
-
São Paulo
0:1
30.07.2023
São Paulo
-
Bahia
0:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - São Paulo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
