Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.64 | 0.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
86% (403/469) | 86% (396/462) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.64 | 0.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.36 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 6 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
86% (403/469) | 86% (396/462) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (13/34) | 58% (31/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (98/130) | 73% (71/97) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 10% (1/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.37 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (22/27) | 52% (12/23) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Pablo Maia ⚽, Bobadilla D. (A),
- 37', Everson 🟨,
- 43', Marcos Antonio ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 45+1', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Reinier ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- 60', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 64', Ferreira ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 68', Junior Santos ↓, Biel ↑,
- 68', Franco A. ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 75', Igor Gomes ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 79', Andre Silva ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Tapia G. ⚽, Soares C. (A),
- 88', Gabriel Menino ↓, Iseppe M. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo 52.4% | Draw 28.8% | Atlético Mineiro 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4%)
São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (1.99) |
3.27 ↑ (3.23) |
5.02 ↑ (3.98) |
5.7% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Robert Arboleda
(Muscle Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alonso J.
(Red Card)
Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Red Card)
Hulk
(Yellow Cards)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
Gustavo Scarpa
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Atlético Mineiro?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against São Paulo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
06.04.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
0:0
23.11.2024
São Paulo
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
12.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
0:0
28.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
11.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 44:9 | 35 | 46 |
2 | Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 42 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Usa | Fanatiz |