São José-SP vs Comercial SP: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Copa Paulista São José-SP - Comercial SP
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
São José-SP - Comercial SP - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Alex Silverio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Luis Gustavo 🟨,
  • 58', Cristiano , Joao Gabriel ,
  • 65', Rodrigues F. 🟨,
  • 74', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
  • 75', Caua de Aguiar Alves M. , Yuri ,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Rodrigues F. ,
  • 78', Rone , Luis Araujo ,
  • 78', Fernando Junior , Mateus Petri ,
  • 79', Bruno Menezes , Luciano ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 80', Alex Silverio 🟥,
  • 83', Rodrigues F. , Victor ,
  • 87', Mian F. , Lima L. ,

Chances of winning


São José-SP
55.4%
Draw
26.8%
Comercial SP
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 26.7% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • São José-SP - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.77)
    3.4
    (3.5)
    5.12
    (4)
    10%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, São José-SP is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São José-SP - Comercial SP were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Comercial SP - São José-SP 1:0
    17.02.2024 São José-SP - Comercial SP 4:0
    Latest results of São José-SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1PiracicabaAEA Aracatuba2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Portuguesa SantistaOeste0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Sao Jose ECSao Bento2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4ComercialInter de Limeira2 : 0, 0 : 1
    5Uniao Sao JoaoNoroeste3 : 0, 0 : 1
    6PrimaveraPaulista2 : 0, 0 : 1
    7Gremio PrudenteSao Caetano2 : 0, 0 : 0
    8Monte AzulFrancana1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PiracicabaOeste2 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Sao Jose ECComercial0 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Uniao Sao JoaoPrimavera0 : 2, 0 : 4
    4Gremio PrudenteFrancana3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1PiracicabaComercial1 : 0, 1 : 1
    2PrimaveraGremio Prudente3 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PiracicabaPrimavera
    X
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