Result
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Santos
42.5% | Draw
30.6% | São Paulo
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Santos - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.57) |
3.1 ↑
(2.99) |
3.53 ↑
(2.89) |
5.4%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Santos might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against São Paulo?
Santos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Santos?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - São Paulo were as follows:
20.04.2025
São Paulo
-
Santos
2:1
01.02.2025
Santos
-
São Paulo
3:1
14.02.2024
São Paulo
-
Santos
0:1
12.11.2023
Santos
-
São Paulo
0:0
16.07.2023
São Paulo
-
Santos
4:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47:10 | 37 | 50 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 39:23 | 16 | 39 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 6 | Bahia | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Ceara | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 15 | Vasco | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Santos - São Paulo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
