Fluminense vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Santos
Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
Fluminense - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (449/515)82% (293/357)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.03
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1610
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2216
Passes
87% (449/515)82% (293/357)
Long passes
56% (24/43)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
76% (119/157)60% (29/48)
Crosses
18% (3/17)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.27
Fouls
1622
Tackles
53% (8/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5147
Clearances Total
1028
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.030.53
Goals prevented
0.03-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 37', Cano G. 🟨,
  • 39', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hercules , Bernal F. ,
  • 46', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 46', Thaciano , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 46', Rollheiser B. , Neymar ,
  • 60', Neymar 🟨,
  • 69', Canobbio A. , PH Ganso ,
  • 69', Lima , Keno ,
  • 70', Diego Pituca , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 75', Soteldo Y. , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 78', Bernal F. 🟨,
  • 83', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 85', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 89', Martinelli , Thiago Santos ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 0, Samuel Xavier , Arias J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
50.6%
Draw
29.6%
Santos
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 29.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 29.4% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Fluminense - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.98)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    4.69
    (4.1)
    4.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Santos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
    • Fluminense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G. (Hamstring Injury) Isaque Silva (Inactive) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Renato Augusto (Shoulder Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Knee Injury) Hyan (Inactive) Neymar (Hamstring Injury) Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Santos were as follows:
    29.11.2023 Santos - Fluminense 0:3
    29.07.2023 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    01.04.2025 Once Caldas - Fluminense 0:1
    29.03.2025 Fortaleza - Fluminense 2:0
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    Latest results of Santos
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Sao Paulo1867520:20025
    9Fluminense1672718:20-223
    10Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    11Ceara1764717:17022
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1756618:22-421
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Santos1753918:22-418
    16Vitoria1839616:20-418
    17Vasco1643918:23-515
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude16321111:35-2411
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

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