Chapecoense vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Chapecoense - Santos
Result
4:2
28/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
Chapecoense - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.801.23
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
825
Shots on target
45
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
114
Passes
74% (207/281)89% (481/540)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.801.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.41
Total shots
825
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
012
Blocked shots
48
Shots inside the box
410
Shots outside the box
415
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
510
Passes
74% (207/281)89% (481/540)
Long passes
49% (33/68)57% (17/30)
Passes in final third
61% (31/51)81% (163/201)
Crosses
33% (2/6)28% (11/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.211.05
Throw ins
1331
Fouls
105
Tackles
75% (9/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3341
Clearances
3610
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
1.411.66
Goals prevented
-0.59-2.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Duarte A. 🟨,
  • 15', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Clar W. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Gabriel Menino , Igor Vinicius (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Marcos Vinicius , Everton ,
  • 46', Caballero G. , Barreal A. ,
  • 58', Giovanni Augusto , Jean Carlos ,
  • 58', Marcinho , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 63', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Barreal A. , Ze Rafael (A),
  • 68', Camilo Reijers , Higor Meritao ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Higor Meritao , Joao Paulo (A),
  • 75', Joao Paulo , Robert Conceicao ,
  • 77', Diaz L. , Fernando Tank ,
  • 78', Ze Rafael , Robinho Jr. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Jean Carlos ,
  • 81', Gabriel Menino 🟨,
  • 84', Miguelito , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 89', Gabriel Menino , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Rafael Carvalheira , Jean Carlos (A),

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
32.2%
Draw
29.7%
Santos
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 29.4% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Chapecoense - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (3.13)
    3.18
    (3.17)
    2.48
    (2.29)
    5.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Santos?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH 0 - Santos (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +0.25 - Chapecoense (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Santos will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Santos (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
    • Chapecoense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Bruno Pacheco (Injury) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo (Inactive) Neymar (Knee Injury) Thaciano (Inactive) Tiquinho Soares (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marlon (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Santos were as follows:
    16.10.2024 Chapecoense - Santos 3:2
    01.07.2024 Santos - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    25.01.2026 Chapecoense - Joinville 6:0
    21.01.2026 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    14.01.2026 Concórdia - Chapecoense 1:2
    11.01.2026 Camboriú - Chapecoense 2:0
    Latest results of Santos
    22.01.2026 Santos - Corinthians 1:1
    18.01.2026 Guarani - Santos 1:1
    14.01.2026 Palmeiras - Santos 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo54108:2613
    2Palmeiras531113:7610
    3Fluminense53117:4310
    4Bahia42205:328
    5Bragantino52214:408
    6Flamengo RJ42116:427
    7Coritiba52127:617
    8Athletico-PR42114:317
    9Gremio52129:907
    10Corinthians52125:507
    11Mirassol41308:716
    12Chapecoense-SC41218:805
    13Atletico-MG51227:8-15
    14Santos51228:10-25
    15Vasco51135:7-24
    16Vitoria41125:8-34
    17Botafogo RJ31027:613
    18Remo50326:10-43
    19Internacional50233:7-42
    20Cruzeiro50234:11-72

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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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