Bahia vs Santos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Santos
Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 21
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Bahia - Santos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.28
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
85% (428/505)85% (353/415)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.62
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
85% (428/505)85% (353/415)
Long passes
56% (27/48)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)78% (87/112)
Crosses
25% (3/12)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.37
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1217
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.620.86
Goals prevented
0.62-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Ademir , Cauly ,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba , Everton Ribeiro (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Willian Jose , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 56', Gabriel Bontempo , Caballero G. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. , Everton Ribeiro (A),
  • 64', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
  • 65', Kayky , Tiago ,
  • 72', Everton Ribeiro , Rodrigo ,
  • 72', Nicolas Acevedo , Rezende ,
  • 74', Mayke , Igor Vinicius ,
  • 74', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 76', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
  • 86', Joao Schmidt , Hyan ,
  • 86', Escobar G. , Souza ,

Chances of winning


Bahia
56.6%
Draw
24.7%
Santos
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.6% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 26.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Bahia - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.75)
    3.81
    (3.53)
    5.07
    (4.73)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
    • Bahia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Yellow Cards) Fred Lippert (Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Joao Basso (Muscle Injury) Neymar (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Santos were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    18.09.2023 Bahia - Santos 1:2
    31.05.2023 Bahia - Santos 2:1
    17.05.2023 Santos - Bahia 0:0
    10.05.2023 Santos - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    06.08.2025 Retrô Brasil - Bahia 0:0
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    Latest results of Santos
    17.08.2025 Santos - Vasco da Gama 0:6
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    04.08.2025 Santos - Juventude 3:1
    26.07.2025 Sport Recife - Santos 2:2
    23.07.2025 Santos - Internacional RS 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ20144244:93546
    2Palmeiras19133327:151242
    3Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bahia - Santos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    israelIsraelSport 1
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
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