Santos vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Santos - Bahia
Result
2:2
06/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 2
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Santos - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.98
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
85% (399/469)78% (299/384)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.39
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
100
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2823
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
85% (399/469)78% (299/384)
Long passes
50% (18/36)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
79% (129/164)82% (67/82)
Crosses
23% (7/31)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.121.12
Fouls
1316
Tackles
70% (14/20)88% (15/17)
Duels won
6554
Clearances Total
1626
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.391.36
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Erick , Luciano Juba (A),
  • 40', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Rollheiser B. , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 46', Barreal A. , Thaciano ,
  • 46', Iago , Erick Pulga ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Thaciano ,
  • 51', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
  • 56', Gil 🟨,
  • 66', Caio Alexandre , Cauly ,
  • 66', Ademir , Kayky ,
  • 66', Rodrigo , Jean Lucas ,
  • 70', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Tiquinho Soares , Deivid Washington ,
  • 74', Gabriel Bontempo , Diego Pituca ,
  • 80', Willian Jose , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Diego Pituca ,
  • 83', Diego Pituca 🟨,
  • 87', Erick 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Luciano Juba , Cauly (A),
  • 90+2', Guilherme , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 90+7', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
42.9%
Draw
30.6%
Bahia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 28.3% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 29.9% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Santos - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.97)
    3.08
    (3.34)
    3.57
    (4.01)
    6.1%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Bahia?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.
    • Recent matches Santos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Santos will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Knee Injury) Neymar (Hamstring Injury) Soteldo Y. (Muscle Injury) Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Everton Ribeiro (Red Card) Michel Araujo (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:16 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:4 (average 1.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Bahia were as follows:
    18.09.2023 Bahia - Santos 1:2
    31.05.2023 Bahia - Santos 2:1
    17.05.2023 Santos - Bahia 0:0
    10.05.2023 Santos - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Santos
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    19.02.2025 Santos - EC Noroeste 3:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    03.04.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:1
    30.03.2025 Bahia - Corinthians 1:1
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    23.03.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 1:1
    19.03.2025 CS Alagoano - Bahia 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1172217:8923
    3Bragantino1172214:8623
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Fluminense1162315:12320
    6Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    7Bahia1153311:11018
    8Mirassol1145217:12517
    9Atletico-MG1145211:10117
    10Ceara1143413:11215
    11Corinthians1143412:14-215
    12Gremio1143411:14-315
    13Sao Paulo112639:11-212
    14Internacional1125412:16-411
    15Vasco1131711:15-410
    16Vitoria1124510:14-410
    17Fortaleza1124510:15-510
    18Santos112278:12-48
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

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