Santos vs Atlético Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Santos - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:0
16/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 4
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
Santos - Atlético Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.98
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
80% (233/290)87% (426/490)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.69
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1526
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
80% (233/290)87% (426/490)
Long passes
46% (21/46)67% (35/52)
Passes in final third
67% (54/81)76% (109/144)
Crosses
43% (3/7)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.89
Fouls
1117
Tackles
74% (14/19)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5144
Clearances Total
409
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.692.14
Goals prevented
0.690.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Ze Ivaldo ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Barreal A. , Gabriel Bontempo (A),
  • 34', Neymar , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 45+1', Caio Paulista 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Scarpa , Igor Gomes ,
  • 46', Renzo Saravia , Natanael ,
  • 46', Godoy L. , Joao Pedro Chermont ,
  • 56', Caio Paulista , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 62', Gil 🟨,
  • 63', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 71', Fausto Vera , Bernard ,
  • 75', Barreal A. , Diego Pituca ,
  • 76', Gabriel Bontempo , Rincon T. ,
  • 77', Hulk 🟨,
  • 77', Hulk , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 87', Rollheiser B. , Thaciano ,
  • 90+5', Cuello 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
38.8%
Draw
30%
Atlético Mineiro
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.4% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santos - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.8)
    3.15
    (3.26)
    3.05
    (2.53)
    5.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Atlético Mineiro?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 0.
    • Santos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Atlético MG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Santos will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Igor Rabello (Inactive) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan (Knee Injury) Hyan (Inactive) Soteldo Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Franco A. (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:9 (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    27.08.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 2:0
    23.04.2023 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    05.10.2022 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 1:2
    Latest results of Santos
    13.04.2025 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    09.03.2025 Corinthians - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras971111:4722
    2Flamengo RJ953117:41318
    3Cruzeiro952213:7617
    4Bragantino952211:8317
    5Ceara943211:7415
    6Bahia94329:9015
    7Fluminense942311:11014
    8Corinthians941412:14-213
    9Atletico-MG934210:10013
    10Botafogo RJ933310:5512
    11Sao Paulo92618:7112
    12Mirassol925214:12211
    13Vasco931510:11-110
    14Fortaleza924310:8210
    15Internacional924311:13-210
    16Vitoria923410:13-39
    17Gremio92348:14-69
    18Juventude92258:21-138
    19Santos91267:11-45
    20Sport Recife90274:16-122

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