Atlas vs Santos Laguna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Atlas - Santos Laguna
Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
Atlas - Santos Laguna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.37
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
725
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
79% (200/253)88% (385/438)
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.60
Total shots
725
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
311
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
314
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
79% (200/253)88% (385/438)
Long passes
31% (12/39)50% (15/30)
Passes in final third
66% (48/73)82% (132/161)
Crosses
10% (1/10)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.44
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1813
Tackles
65% (11/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
3919
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.600.48
Goals prevented
-0.40-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Amione B. , Abella J. (A),
  • 5', 1 - 1, Coccaro M. ,
  • 7', 2 - 1, Gonzalez D. , Rocha A. (A),
  • 15', Matheus Doria 🟨,
  • 21', Balanta K. 🟨,
  • 45', Abella J. 🟨,
  • 45', Dajome C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', del Prete G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dajome C. , Sordo R. ,
  • 57', Guemez J. 🟨,
  • 61', Abella J. , Medina D. ,
  • 61', Guemez J. , Mariscal Murra S. ,
  • 64', del Prete G. , Ramirez P. ,
  • 67', Acevedo C. 🟨,
  • 69', Coccaro M. 🟥,
  • 71', Villalba F. , Carrillo J. ,
  • 78', Lopez A. , Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ,
  • 90', Vargas C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. , Medina D. (A),
  • 90+3', Mora A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rocha A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlas
54.4%
Draw
24.1%
Santos Laguna
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.7% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 23.4% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Atlas - Santos Laguna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.71)
    3.97
    (3.97)
    4.49
    (4.4)
    5.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlas - Santos Laguna?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Atlas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
    • Atlas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Atlas is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E. (Muscle Injury) Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Djurdjevic U. (Yellow Cards) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Ortega E. (Suspended) Rodriguez J. (Injury) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos Laguna: Ortega H. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Balanta K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Santos Laguna were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Santos Laguna - Atlas 2:0
    16.07.2024 Atlas - Santos Laguna 1:0
    04.02.2024 Atlas - Santos Laguna 3:0
    13.07.2023 Santos Laguna - Atlas 0:0
    26.01.2023 Atlas - Santos Laguna 2:2
    Latest results of Atlas
    31.08.2025 UNAM - Atlas 1:0
    24.08.2025 Atlas - Club América 2:4
    17.08.2025 Querétaro - Atlas 3:3
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    06.08.2025 Atlanta United - Atlas 4:1
    Latest results of Santos Laguna
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey870118:9921
    2Cruz Azul862016:8820
    3Club America852116:8817
    4Toluca851219:11816
    5Tigres UANL742116:8814
    6Club Tijuana834114:10413
    7Pachuca841311:8313
    8UNAM Pumas833211:9212
    9Juarez83328:8012
    10Club Leon83238:9-111
    11Santos Laguna821511:13-27
    12Guadalajara Chivas721411:13-27
    13Atl. San Luis821511:14-37
    14Mazatlan FC81349:14-56
    15Atlas813414:21-76
    16Necaxa81347:14-76
    17Queretaro81167:16-94
    18Puebla81167:21-144

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlas - Santos Laguna?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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