Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa vs Municipal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Guatemala Liga Nacional Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal
26/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13
Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
27.2%
Draw
29.3%
Municipal
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 32% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 31.6% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (2.93)
    3.11
    (2.85)
    2.09
    (2.48)
    9.9%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 1.
    • Santa Lucía is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Municipal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal were as follows:
    28.01.2023 Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa 2:0
    23.11.2022 Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa 2:0
    11.09.2022 Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal 1:0
    Latest results of Municipal
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1AntiguaGuastatoya2 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Coban ImperialMalacateco2 : 1, 1 : 0
    3MunicipalDeportivo Mixco4 : 0, 0 : 0
    4ComunicacionesMarquense2 : 1, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1AntiguaCoban Imperial4 : 0, 1 : 2
    2MunicipalMarquense1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1AntiguaMunicipal2 : 1, 0 : 0
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