Santa Cruz Recife vs América RN: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - América RN
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 4
Santa Cruz Recife - América RN - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
76
Total shots
710
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Souza ,

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
47.9%
Draw
29.6%
América RN
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 27.5% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.3% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América RN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América RN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santa Cruz Recife - América RN Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.07)
    3.09
    (3.3)
    4.05
    (3.17)
    9.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santa Cruz Recife - América RN?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Santa Cruz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • América RN is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Santa Cruz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of América RN
    04.05.2025 Central SC - América RN 1:2
    26.04.2025 América RN - Treze 4:0
    19.04.2025 Horizonte - América RN 0:0
    29.03.2025 ABC - América RN 0:1
    22.03.2025 América RN - ABC 1:1
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tuna Luso531110:5510
    2Manauara52307:349
    3Aguia De Maraba52304:139
    4Independencia42118:537
    5Manaus51317:616
    6Trem41219:725
    7GAS51137:10-34
    8Humaita50054:19-150


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos53208:4411
    2Imperatriz42113:4-17
    3Iguatu52037:616
    4Tocantinopolis41306:516
    5Maranhao41216:425
    6Maracana51225:6-15
    7Sampaio Correa41121:2-14
    8Parnahyba51133:8-54


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Cruz54109:2713
    2America RN531110:3710
    3Treze PB53023:5-29
    4Central SC52126:517
    5Ferroviario52035:8-36
    6Sousa51135:414
    7Horizonte51132:7-54
    8Santa Cruz de Natal51132:8-64


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA541010:3713
    2Juazeirense52215:6-18
    3Lagarto52215:6-18
    4Sergipe52125:327
    5Jequie52126:7-17
    6Uniao Carmolandense51135:504
    7Barcelona50413:6-34
    8SC Penedense50231:4-32


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ceilandia53207:4311
    2Aparecidense53118:4410
    3Luverdense53115:4110
    4Capital52124:317
    5Mixto51316:606
    6Porto Velho51137:9-24
    7Goianesia51133:7-44
    8Goiania51043:6-33


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa531110:7310
    2Rio Branco ES53027:529
    3Marica52126:517
    4Pouso Alegre52125:507
    5Boavista52126:7-17
    6Agua Santa52037:9-26
    7Nova Iguacu51225:6-15
    8Porto Vitoria51225:7-25


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cianorte52307:349
    2Inter de Limeira52215:418
    3Goiatuba52128:627
    4Uberlandia52128:717
    5Cascavel52125:8-37
    6Itabirito51315:6-16
    7Operario MS51225:7-25
    8Monte Azul50323:5-23


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53115:3210
    2Barra FC53027:439
    3EC Sao Jose52217:348
    4Marcilio Dias52216:518
    5Azuriz52033:4-16
    6Sao Luiz52033:8-56
    7Guarany de Bage51224:5-15
    8Brasil de Pelotas51132:5-34

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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