Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 18
Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.92
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
80% (416/518)80% (286/359)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.30
Total shots
718
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
80% (416/518)80% (286/359)
Long passes
40% (19/48)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
65% (82/126)67% (70/104)
Crosses
21% (3/14)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.39
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
1311
Tackles
58% (7/12)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.300.01
Goals prevented
-0.700.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Maeda N. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Araki H. , Arai N. (A),
  • 60', 0 - 2, Germain R. ,
  • 62', Ko T. , Higashi K. ,
  • 62', Shirai K. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 73', Henrique Trevisan , Morishige M. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 78', Marcelo Ryan , Oka T. ,
  • 85', Koizumi K. 🟨,
  • 87', Kato M. (Pen),
  • 89', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. , Nakamura S. (A),
  • 90', Kato M. , Germain V. ,
  • 90+1', Shiotani T. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 90+1', Araki H. , Yamasaki T. ,
  • 90+4', Germain V. , Matsumoto H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 26.5% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 26% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (4.39)
    3.48
    (3.56)
    1.89
    (1.81)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - New National Stadium.
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.
    • In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:2
    09.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 3:1
    05.06.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    02.03.2024 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    28.10.2023 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Tokyo
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2
    10.05.2025 Tokyo - Vissel Kobe 1:0
    03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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