Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.94
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (277/377)84% (464/552)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.38
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1234
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
117
Passes
73% (277/377)84% (464/552)
Long passes
30% (17/56)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
68% (98/145)77% (150/196)
Crosses
25% (3/12)46% (11/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.36
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
711
Tackles
62% (8/13)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.380.61
Goals prevented
0.380.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Suzuki T. 🟥,
  • 27', Hummet D. , Kurata S. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Shiotani T. , Germain R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Usami T. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 46', Nakamura S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 57', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 80', Yamashita R. , Jebali I. ,
  • 81', Juan Alano , Minamino H. ,
  • 90+1', Fukuoka S. , Toyama S. ,
  • 90+2', Germain R. , Koshimichi S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
31.2%
Draw
29%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 27.4% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 28.2% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.82)
    3.26
    (3.44)
    2.37
    (2.4)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Miura G. (Knee Injury) Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:1
    11.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    30.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    10.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    25.11.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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