Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.25 | 0.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (277/343) | 81% (340/421) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.25 | 0.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
81% (277/343) | 81% (340/421) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (17/42) | 31% (14/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (101/133) | 64% (65/102) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.31 | 0.45 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (3/6) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 1 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Yamashita R. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Nakamura S. ⚽, Shiotani T. (A),
- 22', Jebali I. 🟨,
- 38', Miura G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 60', Abe S. 🟥,
- 65', Welton ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
- 67', Maeda N. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 72', Germain R. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 75', Nakamura S. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 80', Kurokawa K. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 80', Jebali I. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 80', Miura G. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 90+4', Okunuki K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53.7% | Draw 25.3% | Gamba Osaka 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.81) |
3.71 ↑ (3.7) |
4.5 ↑ (3.8) |
6.4% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
- Hiroshima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Higashiguchi M.
(Health problems)
- We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
11.05.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
08.12.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
11.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
30.03.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
10.02.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
3 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
China | K-Ball |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |