Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.94
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (277/377)84% (464/552)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.38
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1234
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
117
Passes
73% (277/377)84% (464/552)
Long passes
30% (17/56)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
68% (98/145)77% (150/196)
Crosses
25% (3/12)46% (11/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.36
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
711
Tackles
62% (8/13)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.380.61
Goals prevented
0.380.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Suzuki T. 🟥,
  • 27', Hummet D. , Kurata S. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Shiotani T. , Germain R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Usami T. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 46', Nakamura S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 57', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 80', Yamashita R. , Jebali I. ,
  • 81', Juan Alano , Minamino H. ,
  • 90+1', Fukuoka S. , Toyama S. ,
  • 90+2', Germain R. , Koshimichi S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
31.2%
Draw
29%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 27.4% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 28.2% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.82)
    3.26
    (3.44)
    2.37
    (2.4)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Miura G. (Knee Injury) Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:1
    11.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    30.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    10.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    25.11.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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