Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.94
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (277/377)84% (464/552)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.38
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1234
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
117
Passes
73% (277/377)84% (464/552)
Long passes
30% (17/56)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
68% (98/145)77% (150/196)
Crosses
25% (3/12)46% (11/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.36
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
711
Tackles
62% (8/13)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.380.61
Goals prevented
0.380.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Suzuki T. 🟥,
  • 27', Hummet D. , Kurata S. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Shiotani T. , Germain R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Usami T. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 46', Nakamura S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 57', Shiotani T. 🟨,
  • 80', Yamashita R. , Jebali I. ,
  • 81', Juan Alano , Minamino H. ,
  • 90+1', Fukuoka S. , Toyama S. ,
  • 90+2', Germain R. , Koshimichi S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
31.2%
Draw
29%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 27.4% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 28.2% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.82)
    3.26
    (3.44)
    2.37
    (2.4)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D. (Inactive) Miura G. (Knee Injury) Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:1
    11.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    30.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    10.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    25.11.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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