Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.17
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (416/509)80% (333/414)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.071.33
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
82% (416/509)80% (333/414)
Long passes
39% (19/49)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
65% (70/107)71% (133/188)
Crosses
64% (9/14)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.84
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1013
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
3021
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.330.07
Goals prevented
-0.670.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ,
  • 59', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 59', Kasai K. , Shimamura T. ,
  • 69', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 71', Tanaka S. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 71', Kinoshita K. , Kato M. ,
  • 72', Ono Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Horigome Y. , Funaki K. ,
  • 78', Araki H. , Arai N. ,
  • 82', Chiba K. 🟨,
  • 84', Okumura J. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+2', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 90+2', Higashi S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 90+7', Hashimoto K. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
19.5%
Draw
24.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 25.6% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 25.4% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.79
    (4.55)
    3.81
    (3.7)
    1.72
    (1.77)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    26.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    03.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    01.07.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:0
    26.02.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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