Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.17
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (416/509)80% (333/414)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.071.33
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
82% (416/509)80% (333/414)
Long passes
39% (19/49)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
65% (70/107)71% (133/188)
Crosses
64% (9/14)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.84
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1013
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
3021
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.330.07
Goals prevented
-0.670.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ,
  • 59', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 59', Kasai K. , Shimamura T. ,
  • 69', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 71', Tanaka S. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 71', Kinoshita K. , Kato M. ,
  • 72', Ono Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Horigome Y. , Funaki K. ,
  • 78', Araki H. , Arai N. ,
  • 82', Chiba K. 🟨,
  • 84', Okumura J. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+2', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 90+2', Higashi S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 90+7', Hashimoto K. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
19.5%
Draw
24.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 25.6% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 25.4% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.79
    (4.55)
    3.81
    (3.7)
    1.72
    (1.77)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    26.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    03.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    01.07.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:0
    26.02.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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