San Marino Calcio vs Castelfidardo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie D - Group F San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Group F - Round 8
San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


San Marino Calcio
43.4%
Draw
28.6%
Castelfidardo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 27.6% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.11)
    3.19
    (3.18)
    3.27
    (3.26)
    9.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
    • San Marino might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of San Marino Calcio
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    05.10.2025 Termoli - Castelfidardo 2:2
    28.09.2025 Castelfidardo - Ancona 0:1
    24.09.2025 Notaresco - Castelfidardo 1:0
    21.09.2025 Castelfidardo - L Aquila 0:3
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare770014:41021
    2Teramo752013:5817
    3Ancona751110:4616
    4L Aquila742117:8914
    5Notaresco Calcio742112:7514
    6Calcio Chieti725011:8311
    7Termoli723210:1009
    8Maceratese73048:809
    9Unipomezia72329:12-39
    10Atletico Ascoli722314:1138
    11Sora722311:928
    12Vigor Senigallia72235:8-38
    13Fossombrone71426:7-17
    14Giulianova71426:9-37
    15Recanatese71158:15-74
    16San Marino Calcio71155:12-74
    17Sammaurese71155:14-94
    18Castelfidardo70164:17-131

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation

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