San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis de Quillota: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Primera B San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota
Result
2:1
23/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Ascenso - Round 11
San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
85
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Coronel F. , Osorio R. ,
  • 15', Rencoret C. 🟨,
  • 16', Parada S. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 0, Barrios A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pereira D. , Plaza D. ,
  • 71', Larrain M. , Albertengo G. ,
  • 72', Rencoret C. , Caceres C. ,
  • 78', Abalos A. , Gauna N. A. ,
  • 78', Melivilu Fuentes C. , Camarda M. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez A. , Cabrera Figueroa L. ,
  • 80', Araya J. , Flores F. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Camarda M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Flores F. ,
  • 90+1', Velazco F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Navarrete J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
50.9%
Draw
27.5%
San Luis de Quillota
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 30% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
  • San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luis de Quillota might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luis de Quillota could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.14)
    3.34
    (3.25)
    4.26
    (3.26)
    8.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3.
    • Recent performances by San Marcos de Arica have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Luis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, San Marcos de Arica has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Marcos de Arica is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota were as follows:
    13.10.2024 San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica 1:1
    27.05.2024 San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota 1:0
    07.08.2023 San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica 2:3
    20.03.2023 San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota 1:0
    Latest results of San Luis de Quillota
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