San Diego Wave vs North Carolina Courage: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer NWSL San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage
Result
5:2
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.50
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
87% (462/532)86% (401/467)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.311.16
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
136
Passes
87% (462/532)86% (401/467)
Long passes
41% (16/39)41% (11/27)
Passes in final third
74% (81/110)64% (49/76)
Crosses
33% (3/9)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.94
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
613
Tackles
84% (16/19)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
1216
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.162.31
Goals prevented
-0.84-2.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Rauch F. , Matsukubo M. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Morroni P. , Cascarino D. (A),
  • 28', O'Sullivan D. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Leon A. , Corley G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 2, Matsukubo M. , Shaw J. (A),
  • 54', 3 - 2, McNabb K. , Armstrong T. (A),
  • 60', 4 - 2, Leon A. , Lundkvist H. (A),
  • 67', Sanchez A. , Betfort H. ,
  • 70', Leon A. , Carusa K. ,
  • 70', Ascanio K. , Barcenas M. ,
  • 74', Shaw J. , Koyama S. ,
  • 74', Rauch F. , Lussi T. ,
  • 82', Corley G. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 90+2', Morroni P. , Wesley K. ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 2, Sanchez M. , Barcenas M. (A),

Chances of winning


San Diego Wave
46.8%
Draw
27.9%
North Carolina Courage
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 27.7% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 26.6% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.88)
    3.29
    (3.3)
    3.63
    (3.83)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.
    • San Diego Wave has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • North Carolina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, North Carolina has had a series of home games.
    • San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage were as follows:
    05.10.2024 North Carolina Courage - San Diego Wave 2:1
    08.09.2024 San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage 1:4
    07.10.2023 North Carolina Courage - San Diego Wave 0:0
    01.04.2023 San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage 3:1
    30.09.2022 San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage 0:0
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    Latest results of North Carolina Courage
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W1190224:81627
    2Orlando Pride W1171319:81122
    3Washington Spirit W1171321:17422
    4San Diego Wave W1162322:14820
    5Seattle Reign W1152411:10117
    6Racing Louisville W1152415:18-317
    7Portland Thorns W1144316:12416
    8Bay FC W1143413:14-115
    9Angel City W1143419:21-215
    10Gotham W1133513:12112
    11North Carolina Courage W1133514:18-412
    12Houston Dash W1132610:17-711
    13Utah Royals W1112810:22-125
    14Chicago W111288:24-165

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    usaUsaCBS, NWSL+ app
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