San Diego Wave vs Bay FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer NWSL San Diego Wave - Bay FC
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
San Diego Wave - Bay FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.81
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
87% (488/563)79% (252/319)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.980.73
Total shots
176
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
4613
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
87% (488/563)79% (252/319)
Long passes
61% (23/38)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
77% (132/171)70% (43/61)
Crosses
27% (8/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.37
Throw-ins
2612
Fouls
1016
Tackles
31% (4/13)67% (16/24)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
640
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.731.98
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Wesley K. , Sanchez M. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Lema K. , Kundananji R. (A),
  • 26', Sanchez M. (Pen),
  • 43', Anderson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Kundananji R. 🟨,
  • 60', Sanchez M. , Barcenas M. ,
  • 60', Ascanio K. , Leon A. ,
  • 67', Dydasco C. 🟨,
  • 73', Conti C. , Hocking P. ,
  • 75', Corley G. , Robbe M. ,
  • 87', Lema K. , Moreau M. ,
  • 90+5', Bailey D. , Shepherd J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Armstrong T. , Dali K. (A),
  • 90+7', Morroni P. , McNabb K. ,

Chances of winning


San Diego Wave
47.6%
Draw
26.3%
Bay FC
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 25.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.9% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • San Diego Wave - Bay FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.81)
    3.52
    (3.56)
    3.56
    (3.94)
    7.9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • San Diego Wave might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Bay FC were as follows:
    20.07.2024 San Diego Wave - Bay FC 3:1
    17.05.2024 Bay FC - San Diego Wave 2:1
    27.04.2024 San Diego Wave - Bay FC 2:1
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    Latest results of Bay FC
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W1190224:81627
    2Orlando Pride W1171319:81122
    3Washington Spirit W1171321:17422
    4San Diego Wave W1162322:14820
    5Seattle Reign W1152411:10117
    6Racing Louisville W1152415:18-317
    7Portland Thorns W1144316:12416
    8Bay FC W1143413:14-115
    9Angel City W1143419:21-215
    10Gotham W1133513:12112
    11North Carolina Courage W1133514:18-412
    12Houston Dash W1132610:17-711
    13Utah Royals W1112810:22-125
    14Chicago W111288:24-165

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of San Diego Wave - Bay FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
    usaUsaCBS, NBC Sports Bay Area, NWSL+ app, Paramount+
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