San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
1:0
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.78
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
85% (399/469)75% (193/258)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.83
Total shots
99
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1215
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
85% (399/469)75% (193/258)
Long passes
63% (47/75)33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
67% (49/73)54% (44/81)
Crosses
9% (2/22)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.55
Throw-ins
3014
Fouls
1314
Tackles
86% (6/7)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1330
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.830.31
Goals prevented
0.83-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Lasso F. 🟨,
  • 43', Berron L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 60', Pacius W. , Fernandes L. ,
  • 68', Lasso F. 🟨,
  • 71', Arteaga M. , Castellanos R. ,
  • 72', Agudelo J. , LaCava J. ,
  • 72', Gomez S. , Neville H. ,
  • 79', Hernandez D. , Greive A. ,
  • 83', Guillen A. 🟨,
  • 84', Alvarez L. , Bassett O. ,
  • 84', Bodily B. , Moon N. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Haakenson L. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


San Antonio
43.1%
Draw
27.5%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 26% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.75)
    3.28
    (3.49)
    2.98
    (4.4)
    9.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.
    • San Antonio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, San Antonio has had a series of away games.
    • San Antonio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    16.03.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - San Antonio 2:2
    16.09.2023 San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies 3:3
    Latest results of San Antonio
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3Hartford Athletic271251043:301341
    4North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    5Loudoun271161043:45-239
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Rhode Island27971123:27-434
    9Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 26128639:211844
    3New Mexico ✔ 271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    7Lexington27981028:35-735
    8Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots27761434:47-1327
    12Las Vegas Lights27671420:46-2625

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
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    mexicoMexicoDisney+
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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