Monza vs Sampdoria: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Monza - Sampdoria
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 4
  • Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
Monza - Sampdoria - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.07
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
85% (411/484)71% (192/272)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.03
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
85% (411/484)71% (192/272)
Long passes
47% (28/60)38% (24/63)
Passes in final third
73% (95/130)61% (54/88)
Crosses
12% (2/17)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.290.33
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1414
Tackles
67% (8/12)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.030.88
Goals prevented
1.03-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Izzo A. 🟨,
  • 7', Vulikic S. 🟨,
  • 29', Barak A. (Pen),
  • 31', Cherubini L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Izzo A. , Birindelli S. ,
  • 54', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 55', Ciurria P. 🟥,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ,
  • 63', Barak A. , Pafundi S. ,
  • 64', Vulikic S. , Coda M. ,
  • 64', Venuti L. , Giordano S. ,
  • 66', Galazzi N. , Colpani A. ,
  • 66', Maric M. , Delli Carri F. ,
  • 77', Alvarez A. , Petagna A. ,
  • 82', Azzi P. , Carboni A. ,
  • 84', Riccio A. , Narro V. ,
  • 88', Depaoli F. , Benedetti L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monza
59%
Draw
28.6%
Sampdoria
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 27.7% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 24% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.
  • Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monza - Sampdoria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.97)
    3.69
    (3.38)
    9.1
    (3.74)
    -3.6%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Monza - Sampdoria?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sampdoria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Forson O. (Injury) Zeroli K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Ferrari A. (Thigh Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Malagrida L. (Ankle Injury) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sampdoria: Pedrola E. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Sampdoria were as follows:
    06.02.2023 Monza - Sampdoria 2:2
    02.10.2022 Sampdoria - Monza 0:3
    Latest results of Monza
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    12.08.2025 Monza - Inter Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Sampdoria
    13.09.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    10.08.2025 Sampdoria - Pontedera 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena43109:2710
    2Palermo43106:1510
    3Cesena43108:4410
    4Frosinone42205:238
    5Monza42114:317
    6Avellino42117:707
    7Juve Stabia41304:226
    8Carrarese41216:515
    9Reggiana41216:515
    10Sudtirol41216:605
    11Venezia41215:505
    12Entella41214:405
    13Pescara41128:714
    14Catanzaro40404:404
    15Padova41123:5-24
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova41033:6-33
    18Spezia40222:6-42
    19Bari40132:8-61
    20Sampdoria40042:8-60

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monza - Sampdoria?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
    russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus
    worldWorldOnefootball
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