Sampaio Corrêa FE vs Madureira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Carioca Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira
16/03/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Rio - Final
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
57
Blocked Shots
20
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Offsides
01
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Lindoso , Marcelo (A),
  • 15', Max 🟨,
  • 31', Rodrigo Lindoso 🟨,
  • 40', Lucas Carvalho 🟨,
  • 42', Renato Henrique 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Alexandre Souza , Max (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Felipe C. , da Silva Freire M. V. ,
  • 46', Wallace , Jefferson Victor ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Daniel Nunes ,
  • 60', Lucas Carvalho , Ryan Silva ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Ryan Silva ,
  • 70', Jean , Caua Coutinho ,
  • 70', Fuba , Isaias ,
  • 74', Marcelo , Geovane Maranhao ,
  • 75', 3 - 2, Jefferson Victor ,
  • 83', Cruz Manhaes O. 🟨,
  • 83', Cruz Manhaes O. , Gabriel Agu ,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Elias (Pen),

Chances of winning


Sampaio Corrêa FE 33.8%Draw 31.9%Madureira 34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Sampaio Corrêa FE 42%Draw 31%Madureira 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Sampaio Corrêa FE 43.2%Draw 30.1%Madureira 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa FE's form might have worsened.
  • Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madureira's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa FE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madureira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.25)
    2.91
    (3.05)
    2.72
    (3.5)
    7.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
    • Sampaio Corrêa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Madureira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE 1:2
    06.02.2025 Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE 0:1
    14.02.2024 Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira 2:1
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
    Latest results of Madureira
    08.03.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Madureira 1:2
    01.03.2025 Madureira - Nova Iguaçu 0:0
    23.02.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Madureira 2:1
    15.02.2025 Bangu - Madureira 0:3
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Flamengo RJVasco2 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Volta RedondaFluminense0 : 0, 0 : 4

    Final
    1Flamengo RJFluminense0 : 0, 2 : 1
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