Tonga vs Samoa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union Tonga - Samoa
Result
30:16
22/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Pacific Nations Cup - Round 1
Tonga - Samoa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
30
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
32
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 6)
  • 7', Moala S. (Try),
  • 8', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 25', Takulua T. (Try),
  • 26', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 39', Alatimu A. M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 10)
  • 57', Tuitama T. (Try),
  • 67', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 76', Moli S. (Try),
  • 77', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Nanai M. (Try),

Chances of winning


Tonga
32.7%
Draw
3.9%
Samoa
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 3.9% 66.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Samoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Tonga - Samoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (3)
    23.39
    (23)
    1.44
    (1.36)
    9.7%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 0.
    • In this match, Samoa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 160:270. (average 17.8:30).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tonga - Samoa were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Samoa - Tonga 43:17
    04.08.2023 Samoa - Tonga 34:9
    Latest results of Tonga
    24.11.2024 Georgia - Tonga 22:7
    16.11.2024 USA - Tonga 36:17
    09.11.2024 Romania - Tonga 25:15
    14.09.2024 Tonga - Canada 30:17
    05.09.2024 Tonga - Fiji 19:50
    Latest results of Samoa
    18.07.2025 Samoa - Scotland 12:41
    21.09.2024 USA - Samoa 13:18
    15.09.2024 Samoa - Japan 27:49
    30.08.2024 Samoa - Tonga 43:17
    23.08.2024 Fiji - Samoa 42:16
    Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLPts
    1Fiji220061:2510
    2Tonga210140:484
    3Samoa200231:590


    Group B
    PlWDLPts
    1Japan110057:155
    2Canada210149:775
    3USA100120:340

          Promotion ~ Pacific Nations Cup (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Pacific Nations Cup (5th~6th places: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tonga - Samoa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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