Sámano vs UD Ourense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Sámano - UD Ourense
Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
Sámano - UD Ourense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Nunez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 1 - 1, Jauregui X. ,

Chances of winning


Sámano
29.7%
Draw
32.5%
UD Ourense
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 30.1% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 29.8% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sámano - UD Ourense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (3.3)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.42
    (2.13)
    9.4%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Sámano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • UD Ourense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • UD Ourense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • UD Ourense could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sámano
    20.12.2025 Bergantiños - Sámano 1:0
    13.12.2025 Sámano - Langreo 1:2
    29.11.2025 Sámano - Rayo Cantabria 1:1
    23.11.2025 Coruxo - Sámano 4:1
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    21.12.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 1:0
    07.12.2025 UD Ourense - Numancia 0:3
    29.11.2025 Lealtad - UD Ourense 0:1
    23.11.2025 UD Ourense - Bergantiños 1:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril27159343:172654
    2Oviedo B26157443:241952
    3Gimnastica Segoviana27138631:25647
    4Salamanca26127738:281043
    5UD Ourense26118729:26341
    6Coruxo FC271251035:29641
    7Numancia26117834:27740
    8Real Avila26108835:38-338
    9Atl. Astorga261061031:30136
    10Bergantinos2698929:28135
    11Marino de Luanco2689922:20233
    12Rayo Cantabria26514740:35529
    13Valladolid Promesas26781142:45-329
    14Sarriana26851330:33-329
    15Langreo26781123:31-829
    16Lealtad26661420:33-1324
    17Burgos CF B26591228:44-1624
    18UD Samano27361820:60-4015

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