Spezia vs Salernitana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Spezia - Salernitana
Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 36
  • Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
Spezia - Salernitana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.40
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
81% (263/324)81% (275/338)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.00
Total shots
198
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
81% (263/324)81% (275/338)
Long passes
49% (19/39)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
72% (94/130)66% (62/94)
Crosses
34% (10/29)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.89
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
2118
Tackles
64% (7/11)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5748
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
41
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.951.39
Goals prevented
0.95-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Kouda R. , Mateju A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Hrustic A. 🟨,
  • 62', Cerri A. , Simy ,
  • 62', Ruggeri F. , Verde D. ,
  • 63', Falcinelli D. , Colak A. ,
  • 63', Kouda R. , Cassata F. ,
  • 76', Stojanovic P. , Soriano R. ,
  • 76', Mateju A. , Vignali L. ,
  • 76', Bandinelli F. , Nagy A. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Vignali L. ,
  • 84', Corazza T. 🟨,
  • 86', Tongya F. , Jaroszynski P. ,
  • 86', Lochoshvili L. , Njoh L. ,
  • 88', Esposito F. , Lapadula G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5aujrhrx

Chances of winning


Spezia
53.1%
Draw
28.2%
Salernitana
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.3% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 23.6% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Spezia - Salernitana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.64)
    3.36
    (3.85)
    4.99
    (5.06)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Spezia - Salernitana?
  • Users Predictions: Spezia will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Spezia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury) Soleri E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Salernitana: Bronn D. (Injury) Zuccon F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Salernitana were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Salernitana - Spezia 0:2
    12.08.2024 Salernitana - Spezia 4:3
    02.04.2023 Spezia - Salernitana 1:1
    22.10.2022 Salernitana - Spezia 1:0
    Latest results of Spezia
    25.04.2025 Frosinone - Spezia 2:2
    13.04.2025 Mantova - Spezia 2:2
    06.04.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:0
    28.03.2025 Spezia - Brescia 0:1
    15.03.2025 Cesena - Spezia 0:0
    Latest results of Salernitana
    05.04.2025 Juve Stabia - Salernitana 1:0
    30.03.2025 Salernitana - Palermo 1:2
    15.03.2025 Bari - Salernitana 0:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cesena11003:123
    2Empoli11003:123
    3Palermo11002:113
    4Monza11001:013
    5Juve Stabia10101:101
    6Entella10101:101
    7Avellino00000:000
    8Bari00000:000
    9Spezia00000:000
    10Frosinone00000:000
    11Modena00000:000
    12Venezia00000:000
    13Sudtirol00000:000
    14Carrarese00000:000
    15Catanzaro00000:000
    16Sampdoria00000:000
    17Reggiana10011:2-10
    18Mantova10010:1-10
    19Padova10011:3-20
    20Pescara10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Spezia - Salernitana?
    It is being streamed on channel
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