SaiPa vs Lukko: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Finnish SM-liiga SaiPa - Lukko
Result
2:1 OT
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals
SaiPa - Lukko - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.872.39
Shots on Goal
1929
Shots off target
1718
Shooting PCT
10.53% (2/19)3.45% (1/29)
Blocked Shots
1512
Goalkeeper Saves
2817
Saves PCT
96.55% (28/29)89.47% (17/19)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (3/3)
Faceoffs Won
3423
Faceoffs %
59.6540.35
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 19:50, Niemela M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 09:08, 1 - 0, Airola S. (G), Klintrup E. (A), Heikkila J. (A2)
  • 10:24, Nousiainen K. (2 min),
  • 18:15, 1 - 1, Ikonen H. (G), Jandric S. (A), Morand A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 02:15, Almari N. (2 min),
  • 14:06, Salminen S. (2 min),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:59, 2 - 1, Airola S. (G), Petman M. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)

Chances of winning


SaiPa 36.9%Draw 26.2%Lukko 36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
SaiPa 34.6%Draw 25.8%Lukko 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

SaiPa 34.5%Draw 25.9%Lukko 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • SaiPa - Lukko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.7)
    3.6
    (3.62)
    2.56
    (2.36)
    6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
  • What is the prediction for SaiPa - Lukko?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 6th leg. Saipa leads series 3-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's SaiPa to win the game is with odds 2.49.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 37:55 (average 1.9:2.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SaiPa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:31 (average 1.9:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Lukko were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 3:2
    16.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 5:2
    14.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    12.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 3:5
    11.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    Latest results of SaiPa
    18.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 3:2
    16.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 5:2
    14.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    12.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 3:5
    11.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    Latest results of Lukko
    18.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 3:2
    16.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 5:2
    14.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    12.04.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 3:5
    11.04.2025 Lukko - SaiPa 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (2)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo (8)Tappara (9)2 : 3
    3KalPa (3)Bye
    4Assat (7)Hameenlinna (10)3 : 0
    5Lukko (1)Bye
    6KooKoo (6)Vaasan Sport (11)1 : 3
    7IFK Helsinki (4)Bye
    8SaiPa (5)TPS Turku (12)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (2)Tappara (9)4 : 0
    2KalPa (3)Assat (7)4 : 3
    3Lukko (1)Vaasan Sport (11)4 : 0
    4IFK Helsinki (4)SaiPa (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Ilves (2)KalPa (3)2 : 4
    2Lukko (1)SaiPa (5)2 : 4

    Final
    1KalPa (3)SaiPa (5)4 : 2

    3rd place
    2Lukko (1)Ilves (2)0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of SaiPa - Lukko?
    It is being streamed on channel
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
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