PSV Eindhoven vs Saint-Gilloise: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise
Result
1:3
16/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.453.25
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
83% (439/530)73% (232/318)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.453.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.283.15
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1331
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
08
Free Kicks
99
Passes
83% (439/530)73% (232/318)
Long passes
58% (38/66)43% (22/51)
Passes in final third
69% (94/137)61% (63/103)
Crosses
8% (2/26)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.56
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
99
Tackles
57% (12/21)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5954
Clearances
2334
Interceptions
1916
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.151.28
Goals prevented
0.150.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, David P. (Pen),
  • 39', 0 - 2, Ait El Hadj A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Schouten J. , Til G. ,
  • 46', Obispo A. , Salah-Eddine A. ,
  • 67', David P. , Giger M. ,
  • 74', Pepi R. , Boadu M. ,
  • 74', Saibari I. , Wanner P. ,
  • 75', Ait El Hadj A. , Van De Perre K. ,
  • 80', Boadu M. , Man D. ,
  • 81', 0 - 3, Mac Allister K. , Rodriguez K. (A),
  • 88', Rodriguez K. , Schoofs R. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, van Bommel R. ,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
51.9%
Draw
25.1%
Saint-Gilloise
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 24.4% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 25.7% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.8)
    3.79
    (3.91)
    4.18
    (4.29)
    4.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.34%92.32%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSV is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Union SG is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, PSV is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Mauro Junior (Ankle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Boufal S. (Muscle Injury) Florucz R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Obispo A. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, PSV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, PSV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    05.07.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise 1:0
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG11003:123
    2Arsenal11002:023
    3Qarabag11003:213
    4Real Madrid11002:113
    5Tottenham11001:013
    6Dortmund10104:401
    7Juventus10104:401
    8Chelsea00000:000
    9Liverpool00000:000
    10Manchester City00000:000
    11Newcastle00000:000
    12Monaco00000:000
    13PSG00000:000
    14Napoli00000:000
    15Slavia Prague00000:000
    16Club Brugge KV00000:000
    17Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    18Bayern Munich00000:000
    19Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    20Inter00000:000
    21Atalanta00000:000
    22Ajax00000:000
    23Barcelona00000:000
    24Atl. Madrid00000:000
    25Pafos00000:000
    26FC Copenhagen00000:000
    27Olympiacos Piraeus00000:000
    28Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    29Sporting CP00000:000
    30Galatasaray00000:000
    31Kairat Almaty00000:000
    32Benfica10012:3-10
    33Marseille10011:2-10
    34Villarreal10010:1-10
    35PSV10011:3-20
    36Ath Bilbao10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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