Lugano vs Saint-Gilloise: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Lugano - Saint-Gilloise
Result
0:1
31/08/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Lugano - Saint-Gilloise - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Lugano
30.5%
Draw
26.7%
Saint-Gilloise
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.3% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugano - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.6)
    3.54
    (3.3)
    2.21
    (2.6)
    5.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Union SG will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 59.7%87.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade de Genève. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Recent matches Lugano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    24.08.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Lugano 2:0
    Latest results of Lugano
    24.08.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Lugano 2:0
    13.08.2023 Lugano - Yverdon 6:1
    05.08.2023 Zürich - Lugano 3:0
    29.07.2023 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:0
    26.07.2023 Lausanne Ouchy - Lugano 0:3
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb11003:123
    2Midtjylland11002:023
    3AS Roma11002:113
    4Ludogorets11002:113
    5Freiburg11002:113
    6Braga11001:013
    7Nottingham10102:201
    8Betis10102:201
    9Celtic10101:101
    10Crvena zvezda10101:101
    11PAOK10100:001
    12Maccabi Tel Aviv10100:001
    13Aston Villa00000:000
    14Celta Vigo00000:000
    15Lille00000:000
    16Bologna00000:000
    17Salzburg00000:000
    18Plzen00000:000
    19Genk00000:000
    20Lyon00000:000
    21Utrecht00000:000
    22FC Porto00000:000
    23Stuttgart00000:000
    24Panathinaikos00000:000
    25Brann00000:000
    26FCSB00000:000
    27Rangers00000:000
    28Young Boys00000:000
    29G.A. Eagles00000:000
    30Ferencvaros00000:000
    31Basel10011:2-10
    32Nice10011:2-10
    33Malmo FF10011:2-10
    34Feyenoord10010:1-10
    35Fenerbahce10011:3-20
    36Sturm Graz10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - Saint-Gilloise?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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