Genk vs Saint-Gilloise: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Genk - Saint-Gilloise
Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
  • Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
Genk - Saint-Gilloise - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.58
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
85% (436/512)74% (206/278)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.55
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
85% (436/512)74% (206/278)
Long passes
64% (36/56)49% (30/61)
Passes in final third
74% (111/149)53% (42/80)
Crosses
26% (6/23)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.23
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
1112
Tackles
62% (8/13)89% (17/19)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
3339
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.551.75
Goals prevented
-0.450.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, David P. , Burgess C. (A),
  • 27', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
  • 44', Leysen F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Niang O. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Ito J. , Steuckers J. (A),
  • 59', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 62', Rasmussen M. , Van De Perre K. ,
  • 62', David P. , Florucz R. ,
  • 69', Khalaili A. , Patris L. ,
  • 69', Ito J. , Adedeji-Sternberg N. ,
  • 69', Erabi J. , Oh Hyeon-Gyu ,
  • 69', El Ouahdi Z. , Nkuba K. ,
  • 81', Niang O. , Sykes R. ,
  • 81', Ait El Hadj A. , Schoofs R. ,
  • 90', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kayembe J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Schoofs R. , Florucz R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Genk
31.6%
Draw
26.9%
Saint-Gilloise
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 26% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 26.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Genk - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.65)
    3.56
    (3.55)
    2.31
    (2.36)
    4.8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Genk - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Union SG will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1.
    • In recent matches, Genk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Genk: Heymans D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genk: Sor Y. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: David P. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Genk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 1:0
    20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    15.03.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 2:1
    10.11.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 4:0
    26.05.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2:0
    Latest results of Genk
    17.09.2025 Genk - Charleroi 0:1
    14.09.2025 Anderlecht - Genk 1:1
    31.08.2025 Genk - Zulte Waregem 3:2
    28.08.2025 Genk - Lech Poznań 1:2
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG972019:41523
    2Club Brugge KV952216:11517
    3KV Mechelen944112:8416
    4Anderlecht943214:9515
    5Gent942315:12314
    6St. Truiden942312:11114
    7Waregem941413:13013
    8Charleroi933312:12012
    9Genk932412:13-111
    10RAAL La Louviere93247:9-211
    11St. Liege93249:12-311
    12Westerlo931516:20-410
    13Antwerp92439:11-210
    14Cercle Brugge KSV923412:13-19
    15Leuven92258:17-98
    16Dender90362:13-113

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Genk - Saint-Gilloise?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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