Anderlecht vs Saint-Gilloise: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lotto Park (Anderlecht).

: Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 8
Referee: Smet W. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	2.16
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
6	7
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
80% (360/451)	76% (220/291)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	2.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	1.35
Total shots
6	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
12	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
80% (360/451)	76% (220/291)
Long passes
49% (29/59)	58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)	61% (51/83)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.85
Throw-ins
23	21
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
78% (14/18)	68% (15/22)
Duels won
40	46
Clearances
18	15
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.35	0.74
Goals prevented
0.35	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Ivanovic F. (Pen),
27', 0 - 1, Fuseini M. ⚽, Ivanovic F. (A),
33', Burgess C. 🟨,
37', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
43', Niang O. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
50', Sadiki N. 🟨,
55', Pocognoli S. 🟨,
57', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
64', Dolberg K. (Pen),
72', Verschaeren Y. ↓, De Cat N. ↑,
72', Maamar A. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
72', N'Diaye M. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
79', Mac Allister K. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
79', Fuseini M. ↓, David P. ↑,
82', Degreef T. 🟨,
88', Hazard T. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
89', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
89', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
90+3', Sykes R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Anderlecht
25.6%

Draw
28.3%

Saint-Gilloise
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.76)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)	2.07 ↓ (2.48)	5.4% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise?

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.
Anderlecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Union SG is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Union SG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Anderlecht: Degreef T. (Back Injury) Sardella K. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Boufal S. (Muscle Injury) Van De Perre K. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Saint-Gilloise?

Anderlecht has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Anderlecht?

Saint-Gilloise has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:

12.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 2:0

23.02.2025 Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise 0:2

01.09.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 0:0

05.05.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 0:0

14.04.2024 Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise 2:1

Latest results of Anderlecht

04.05.2025 Club Brugge - Anderlecht 2:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht 1:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Gent - Anderlecht 0:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Anderlecht - Gent 5:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Saint-Gilloise

03.05.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge 0:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 2:0 ✺

Draw

Conference League - Play Offs

Final

1

Antwerp

Charleroi

1 : 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Bold+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Sportdigital+
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+