Lille vs Saint-Étienne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lille - Saint-Étienne
Result
4:1
01/02/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 20
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Lille - Saint-Étienne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.07
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
299
Shots on Goal
132
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
93
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
19
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
11
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2319
Touches in the Opposition Box
4317
Passes
89% (553/622)74% (224/303)
Passes in the final third
84% (175/209)65% (42/65)
Crosses
42% (8/19)17% (1/6)
Tackles
83% (19/23)68% (15/22)
Clearances Total
517
Interceptions
916

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, David J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Mandi A. , Meunier T. ,
  • 46', Gomes A. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 46', Cardona I. , Boakye A. ,
  • 48', Batubinsika D. 🟥,
  • 50', Boakye A. 🟨,
  • 51', Stassin L. , Abdelhamid Y. ,
  • 62', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Sahraoui O. , David J. (A),
  • 64', Cabella R. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Gudmundsson G. , Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 73', Petrot L. , Cornud P. ,
  • 73', Mouton L. , Macon Y. ,
  • 77', Gudmundsson G. , Bakker M. ,
  • 78', 4 - 1, Sahraoui O. , Bakker M. (A),
  • 84', Haraldsson H. , Lachaab Y. ,
  • 87', Davitashvili Z. , N'Guessan D. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
63.3%
Draw
22.1%
Saint-Étienne
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 18.1% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 17.5% 10.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Lille - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.33)
    4.33
    (5.26)
    6.55
    (9.09)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Saint-Étienne?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Ismaily (Calf Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Moueffek A. (Illness) Old B. (Knee Injury) Sissoko I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cardona I. (Personal Reasons) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Leg Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0
    Latest results of Lille
    29.01.2025 Lille - Feyenoord 6:1
    25.01.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:1
    21.01.2025 Liverpool - Lille 2:1
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lille - Saint-Étienne?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandV Sport+
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
    worldWorldDisney+
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