Lens vs Saint-Étienne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lens - Saint-Étienne
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
Lens - Saint-Étienne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.75
Total shots
208
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4118
Through passes
71% (5/7)0% (0/2)
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
2014
Passes
85% (440/520)72% (246/340)
Long passes
62% (29/47)24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
72% (110/153)60% (51/85)
Crosses
47% (9/19)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.870.57
Fouls
1420
Tackles
62% (8/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5947
Clearances Total
918
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.750.77
Goals prevented
0.75-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 30', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 32', Macon Y. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cardona I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Tardieu F. , Moueffek A. ,
  • 65', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
  • 66', Said W. , Koyalipou G. ,
  • 66', Sotoca F. , Zaroury A. ,
  • 68', Davitashvili Z. , Old B. ,
  • 68', Cardona I. , Wadji I. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Koyalipou G. , Machado D. (A),
  • 79', Aguilar R. , Antonio K. ,
  • 86', Machado D. , Ojediran H. ,
  • 86', Diouf A. , Fulgini A. ,
  • 87', Petrot L. , Abdelhamid Y. ,
  • 87', Ojediran H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
60.3%
Draw
22.1%
Saint-Étienne
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.2% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 21.9% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Lens - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.63)
    4.35
    (4.11)
    5.38
    (5.25)
    5.3%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Lens - Saint-Étienne?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Lens will win! (87 of 94 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 4.
    • Recent matches Lens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lens is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Face Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A. (Ankle Injury) Miladinovic I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Juma Bah A. (Tooth injury) Petric D. (Back Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lens 0:2
    Latest results of Lens
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lens - Saint-Étienne?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldDisney+
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