Result
4:2
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Passes |
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75% (293/391) | 83% (534/644) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Total shots |
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16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 12 |
Passes |
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75% (293/391) | 83% (534/644) |
Fouls |
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8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Sakai N. ⚽, Inoue T. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Mishima S. ⚽, Konagaya C. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', Ri T. 🟨,
- 60', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 60', Slivka V. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Yamada H. (A),
- 73', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
- 74', Omoto Y. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
- 74', Kumashiro K. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
- 76', Matsumoto N. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Nishikawa J. ⚽,
- 82', Konagaya C. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
- 82', Fujii K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Shinkawa S. (Pen),
- 86', Nishikawa J. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
- 86', Nishizawa K. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 2, Abe K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Yamada H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu 43.4% | Draw 28% | Roasso Kumamoto 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2.14) |
3.3 ↑ (3.21) |
3.27 ↑ (3.26) |
7% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto?
Users Predictions:
Sagan Tosu will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tosu could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Roasso Kumamoto?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roasso Kumamoto won against Sagan Tosu?
Roasso Kumamoto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto were as follows:
30.03.2025
Roasso Kumamoto
-
Sagan Tosu
3:1
24.04.2024
Roasso Kumamoto
-
Sagan Tosu
0:1
12.07.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Roasso Kumamoto
3:4
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mito | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 45:28 | 17 | 55 |
2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 49:40 | 9 | 55 |
3 | Chiba | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 54 |
4 | Vegalta Sendai | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 51 |
5 | Sagan Tosu | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:33 | 5 | 49 |
6 | Tokushima | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 30:19 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Iwata | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
8 | Omiya Ardija | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 47 |
9 | Imabari | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Iwaki | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
12 | Kofu | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Fujieda MYFC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
14 | Blaublitz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 36 |
15 | Montedio Yamagata | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 43:44 | -1 | 35 |
16 | Oita Trinita | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
17 | Kumamoto | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37:47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 25 |
19 | Toyama | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
20 | Ehime | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 27:54 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto?
It is being streamed on channel
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Japan | DAZN Japan |