Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:4
06/07/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22
Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
35
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
587414
Completed Passes
523332
Tackles
1222
Attacks
10589
Dangerous Attacks
5533
Clearances Completed
133
Crosses Completed
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. , Kikuchi T. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. , Kimura S. (A),
  • 34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Hino S. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ,
  • 52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. , Fukuta A. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. , Shimada Y. (A),
  • 61', Matsuda E. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 61', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 61', Deng T. , Inamura H. ,
  • 65', Kikuchi T. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 79', Marcelo Ryan , Kawahara S. ,
  • 79', Yokoyama A. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 87', Fukuta A. , Ueebisu K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
52.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sagan Tosu
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 25% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.83)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    4.09
    (4.14)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
    • Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    21.10.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    20.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    4Kyoto33179757:352260
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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