Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:4
06/07/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22
Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
35
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
587414
Completed Passes
523332
Tackles
1222
Attacks
10589
Dangerous Attacks
5533
Clearances Completed
133
Crosses Completed
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. , Kikuchi T. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. , Kimura S. (A),
  • 34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Hino S. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ,
  • 52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. , Fukuta A. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. , Shimada Y. (A),
  • 61', Matsuda E. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 61', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 61', Deng T. , Inamura H. ,
  • 65', Kikuchi T. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 79', Marcelo Ryan , Kawahara S. ,
  • 79', Yokoyama A. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 87', Fukuta A. , Ueebisu K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
52.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sagan Tosu
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 25% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.83)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    4.09
    (4.14)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
    • Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    21.10.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    20.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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