Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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60% | 40% |
Total shots |
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10 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Total shots |
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10 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 5 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Fukumori K. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Nishikubo S. ⚽, Takeuchi T. (A),
- 23', Takano R. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Rafael Furtado ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
- 60', Maeda T. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
- 65', Iwasaki H. 🟨,
- 71', Fukumori K. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
- 71', Nakano K. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 77', Muto Y. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
- 77', Nishikubo S. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
- 87', Aoshima T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
- 90+2', Igarashi T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
- 90+2', Ota R. ↓, Hoshino S. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Tokida M. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
- 90+6', Kawata S. 🟨,
- 90+10', Kawano R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tochigi 37.9% | Draw 31.7% | Sagamihara 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi's form might have worsened.Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tochigi - Sagamihara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2) |
2.9 ↓ (3.1) |
3.03 ↓ (3.95) |
8.8% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 17)
- Tochigi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sagamihara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sagamihara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tochigi has had a series of away games.
- Tochigi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Sagamihara?
Tochigi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagamihara won against Tochigi?
Sagamihara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi - Sagamihara were as follows:
22.02.2025
Sagamihara
-
Tochigi
1:0
Latest results of Tochigi
Latest results of Sagamihara
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vanraure | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Osaka | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 44 |
3 | Tochigi City | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
4 | Kagoshima Utd | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 38 |
5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
6 | Nara Club | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 25:23 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Kochi United | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 33:36 | -3 | 31 |
9 | Yamaga | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 29 |
10 | Gainare Tottori | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 22:25 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sagamihara | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 27 |
12 | Fukushima Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
13 | Ryukyu | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:25 | -3 | 26 |
14 | Kanazawa | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 26 |
15 | Tochigi SC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 26 |
16 | Kusatsu | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 30:34 | -4 | 24 |
17 | Nagano | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 24 |
18 | Kamatamare | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 21:28 | -7 | 20 |
19 | Gifu | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Tochigi - Sagamihara?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |