Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic
Result
2:2
19/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.23
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
79% (333/420)79% (298/375)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.421.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.73
Total shots
714
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1316
Through passes
67% (2/3)100% (1/1)
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1924
Passes
79% (333/420)79% (298/375)
Long passes
45% (29/64)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)75% (98/130)
Crosses
0% (0/8)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.30
Fouls
2419
Tackles
67% (4/6)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4250
Clearances Total
1820
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.731.26
Goals prevented
-1.27-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Herrera J. , Cicerone R. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Wanner D. , Gurr J. (A),
  • 36', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Margaritha J. , Cabral R. (A),
  • 42', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 46', Neville H. , Smith C. ,
  • 46', Sacko I. , Rivera D. ,
  • 58', Wanner D. 🟨,
  • 64', Wanner D. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 64', Ukaegbu C. , Djedje R. ,
  • 69', Okello N. , Ping J. ,
  • 71', Djedje R. 🟨,
  • 74', Herrera J. , Jamieson L. ,
  • 75', Parano C. , Lopez R. ,
  • 75', Walls C. , Sainte C. F. ,
  • 77', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Rivera D. , Cabral R. (A),
  • 84', Avayevu H. , Johnson D. ,
  • 85', Cabral R. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
38%
Draw
29.2%
Sacramento Republic
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 29% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.7% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.22)
    3.16
    (3.19)
    2.81
    (3.17)
    8.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:21 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    04.05.2024 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 1:1
    04.11.2023 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    30.08.2023 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    26.07.2023 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 4:0
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

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