Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Lexington
Result
0:0
19/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
Sacramento Republic - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.37
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
86% (426/494)78% (275/352)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.15
Total shots
208
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
86% (426/494)78% (275/352)
Long passes
54% (21/39)25% (15/59)
Passes in final third
73% (91/124)62% (54/87)
Crosses
24% (9/37)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.47
Throw-ins
2612
Fouls
1412
Tackles
58% (11/19)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5536
Clearances
1330
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.150.80
Goals prevented
0.150.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Wu D. 🟨,
  • 37', Wu D. 🟨,
  • 41', Nick Firmino , Burks K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Midence A. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 67', Lopez R. , Parano C. ,
  • 78', Kleemann F. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 78', Willey B. , Wanner D. ,
  • 78', Epps M. , Olney C. ,
  • 90+2', Parano C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 90+3', Herrera J. , Amann T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
53%
Draw
27%
Lexington
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.1% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 27.2% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.71)
    3.42
    (3.69)
    4.61
    (4.49)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Sacramento Republic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lexington is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City20145142:172547
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3Loudoun2094731:29231
    4North Carolina1993729:26330
    5Pittsburgh2076719:18127
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1965826:23323
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1955929:35-620
    10Miami FC20551019:31-1220
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay19531122:29-718


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa20116336:231339
    2Sacramento Republic1987429:161331
    3San Antonio1984725:26-128
    4El Paso1977532:27528
    5Orange County SC1883728:24427
    6New Mexico1882826:28-226
    7Phoenix Rising2067731:36-525
    8Lexington2067721:26-525
    9Colorado Springs1966724:25-124
    10Monterey Bay21651023:29-623
    11Oakland Roots19631023:30-721
    12Las Vegas Lights20551016:37-2120

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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