Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 4
  • Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
912
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
65
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1116
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
1511
Goalkeeper Saves
70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', Krahn E. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Brunker K. , Pick F. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Pick F. , Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Weinhauer E. , Schmid M. ,
  • 46', Majetschak E. , Clausen M. ,
  • 50', Rizzuto C. 🟨,
  • 63', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
  • 64', Brunker K. 🟨,
  • 69', Pick F. 🟨,
  • 69', Mannel M. 🟨,
  • 71', Fallmann P. , Barylla A. ,
  • 71', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Guttau J. ,
  • 74', Krahn E. , Zeitz M. ,
  • 74', Rizzuto C. , Fahrner P. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Schmid M. , Simnica L. (A),
  • 82', Clausen M. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Pick F. , Elongo-Yombo R. (A),
  • 86', Simnica L. , Seiffert M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Elongo-Yombo R. , Pick F. (A),
  • 90', Pick F. , Civeja T. ,
  • 90+3', Elongo-Yombo R. , Wollschlager L. ,
  • 90+3', Brunker K. , Schmidt P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Saarbrücken
51.1%
Draw
24.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 23.6% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 23% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Saarbrücken aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.86)
    3.79
    (3.93)
    3.77
    (3.5)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Saarbrücken is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue 2:0
    02.11.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken 1:1
    09.03.2024 Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue 2:0
    07.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken 2:0
    26.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken 2:1
    Latest results of Saarbrücken
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg972020:71323
    2Saarbrucken953118:11718
    3Cottbus952221:12917
    4VfL Osnabruck944111:5616
    5RW Essen943219:17215
    6Hoffenheim II942319:14514
    7Viktoria Koln942312:9314
    8Mannheim941417:14313
    9Ulm941416:14213
    10Wehen934213:11213
    11Verl934217:16113
    12Munich 1860933314:16-212
    13Stuttgart II93339:14-512
    14Alemannia Aachen931515:17-210
    15Hansa Rostock92436:10-410
    16Aue93158:14-610
    17Ingolstadt915315:1418
    18Regensburg92168:15-77
    19TSV Havelse904510:19-94
    20Schweinfurt91086:25-193

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 8
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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